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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pacers39%97121
25Grizzlies61%101111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.1
35.8
36.4
27
69%
8
4
0
1
1
2
1
7
5-6
83%
11-13
5-10
85%
48%
0-4
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.7
35.5
31.4
14
44%
3
7
0
2
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
5-11
4-10
45%
42%
1-4
25%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.5
33.9
32.7
23
55%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
10-11
91%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
1-5
20%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
25.1
30.2
13
44%
5
1
0
1
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
6-14
6-14
43%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30.8
20.1
21.1
4
50%
7
2
3
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
21.6
22.5
12
89%
4
2
1
0
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
4-5
4-8
80%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.8
19.7
19.7
6
75%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
47%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
14.8
10.8
12
123%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
41%
2-2
100%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.7
12.5
11.4
4
33%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.0
11.5
4.1
0
0%
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.2
7.7
21.3
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
1.8
3.3
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.5
Courtney Sims
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.0
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.7
41.6
33.9
14
62%
10
7
1
1
0
3
0
10
2-3
67%
3-4
4-7
75%
52%
2-6
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.3
35.0
37.7
18
69%
10
3
0
1
0
3
2
8
6-7
86%
6-9
7-14
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.4
30.4
26.0
9
47%
7
0
1
1
3
2
0
7
3-6
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.2
25.3
19.6
10
52%
2
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
4-6
67%
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.2
19.4
27.7
13
69%
0
0
0
1
0
4
0
0
1-1
100%
3-5
3-8
60%
46%
2-4
50%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.6
25.4
17.5
19
89%
3
6
2
1
0
6
1
2
11-13
85%
4-5
1-3
80%
42%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
25.2
9.5
12
61%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.4
19.1
15.6
3
25%
2
0
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
11.1
13.6
8
77%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.3
4.2
14.4
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
51%
1-1
100%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
3.5
4.1
1
28%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-4
25%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.1
14.0
1
1-3
43%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.6
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.