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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Bulls62%9872
26Bucks38%9478
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
37.2
40.3
15
48%
8
3
1
1
0
3
0
8
3-4
75%
3-8
5-11
38%
46%
2-6
33%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
33.0
30.6
6
25%
1
4
0
1
0
6
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
0-5
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.2
28.3
31.6
2
13%
6
2
0
1
2
1
1
5
0-2
0%
1-7
5-10
14%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.1
27.3
28.1
5
51%
2
2
0
1
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
25.3
36.2
8
36%
6
1
1
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
4-11
7-14
36%
51%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.3
25.8
14.3
14
90%
10
0
0
0
1
1
5
5
4-4
100%
5-6
2-5
83%
46%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.9
23.9
25.0
12
42%
6
1
2
0
0
1
1
5
3-3
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
1-6
17%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.2
21.4
22.8
5
63%
0
5
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
17.9
6.4
5
36%
6
1
0
0
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
0-5
1-1
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.9
3.3
0
0-1
50%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.3
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.3
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 22.7
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.8
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
41.9
35.7
27
49%
9
5
3
1
0
1
3
6
8-8
100%
5-17
6-13
29%
47%
3-7
43%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.0
33.1
18.6
16
48%
8
1
2
0
2
3
4
4
4-4
100%
6-14
2-5
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.1
28.9
28.0
5
43%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
1-4
4-10
25%
43%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.9
21.4
31.5
7
50%
5
4
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
5-11
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.9
18.3
30.7
6
38%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
53%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.6
29.4
25.2
11
65%
5
4
0
1
0
3
2
3
6-8
75%
1-3
3-5
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.7
21.8
13.5
0
0%
6
0
1
0
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.4
18.5
19.3
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.2
14.9
20.2
2
27%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
0-0
3-5
-
48%
0-2
0%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.8
7.9
4.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
40%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.9
3.9
6.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.0
4.7
0
1-1
46%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.5
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.7
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.