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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings20%90102
4Mavericks80%101123
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.8
41.0
37.6
28
68%
6
0
2
1
0
1
0
6
15-15
100%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
1-2
50%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
40.7
27.2
23
94%
1
6
3
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
46%
2-3
67%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.9
40.1
31.8
27
64%
5
4
1
1
0
4
3
2
7-7
100%
10-17
4-8
59%
45%
0-1
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.6
27.9
29.4
6
43%
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.0
27.8
22.3
4
50%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Darryl Watkins
C · 6'11" 258 · 23.0
25.3
12.4
6
37%
5
0
1
0
0
4
3
2
2-5
40%
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
12.8
22.6
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 25.7
9.3
14.3
2
33%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
40%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.9
8.9
15.6
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.3
6.1
15.2
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.0
13.3
1
2-4
43%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.3
7.0
0
1-2
41%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.5
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.5
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.5
32.8
13.8
27
67%
7
5
1
1
2
1
1
6
6-7
86%
9-13
2-5
69%
48%
1-4
25%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.4
29.9
36.7
24
88%
4
7
0
1
1
2
2
2
6-6
100%
9-11
7-13
82%
50%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
28.6
7.2
25
101%
1
5
1
0
0
4
0
1
3-3
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
45%
4-4
100%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.8
25.5
32.0
8
93%
8
0
0
1
0
2
1
7
2-3
67%
3-3
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.0
14.5
24.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.1
29.2
31.9
16
78%
1
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-5
80%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
2-2
100%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.7
21.4
21.7
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.5
20.1
18.9
11
75%
3
2
0
0
2
2
2
1
3-3
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.7
17.4
10.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.0
14.0
29.3
6
50%
1
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.7
3.5
4.2
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.4
3.1
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.2
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.3
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.