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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 4, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bobcats47%9790
22Heat53%9888
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
43.9
33.1
29
80%
5
1
1
1
0
5
2
3
3-5
60%
4-5
3-7
80%
46%
6-11
55%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.4
42.0
37.3
19
60%
4
7
2
2
0
5
0
4
4-4
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
40%
1-2
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
40.4
37.9
13
49%
6
2
1
2
0
3
1
5
4-5
80%
3-8
6-12
38%
51%
1-3
33%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.1
38.5
34.3
16
56%
13
2
3
1
1
0
3
10
2-3
67%
7-13
5-10
54%
47%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
22.3
16.7
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.0
24.1
17.3
4
41%
2
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.3
10.5
5.8
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
7.6
6.8
3
44%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.2
7.5
18.4
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
3.1
12.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.3
11.2
0
1-2
41%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
5.5
0
1-1
44%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.6
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.3
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.9
37.7
26.9
11
52%
6
2
1
1
1
0
1
5
5-6
83%
3-7
4-7
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
37.4
30.5
18
52%
10
2
2
1
0
2
5
5
0-1
0%
9-17
5-11
53%
50%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.1
32.4
36.2
12
55%
3
3
1
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
5-10
43%
49%
2-4
50%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.0
32.3
36.1
7
31%
1
5
1
1
0
2
1
0
1-1
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
49%
0-3
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.7
31.7
27.3
17
72%
9
2
0
0
2
1
3
6
1-2
50%
8-11
6-11
73%
58%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.3
18.6
5.5
7
44%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-7
1-1
43%
43%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.5
17.9
18.5
4
35%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.7
16.3
14.4
8
61%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
6-8
75%
1-3
2-4
33%
56%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
15.8
9.8
4
52%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.9
19.7
0
3-6
51%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.4
16.1
1
1-3
48%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.7
2.0
0
0-0
52%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.2
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.