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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 4, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Hawks23%9391
5Pistons77%10392
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.3
39.6
40.1
23
61%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
7-12
6-13
58%
47%
2-5
40%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.9
38.7
35.4
13
34%
10
2
2
1
5
5
3
7
5-5
100%
4-15
6-13
27%
45%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.4
38.5
33.1
22
75%
6
2
1
1
0
2
2
4
5-6
83%
7-11
5-11
64%
44%
1-1
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.4
36.4
23.3
3
22%
11
2
1
1
0
5
4
7
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
45%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.5
25.6
23.2
6
38%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.4
24.6
28.8
7
64%
1
1
2
1
2
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.8
22.4
14.2
11
92%
0
0
2
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
41%
1-1
100%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.0
14.1
25.4
6
65%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
4-6
67%
1-2
3-6
50%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.1
7.9
0
1-2
44%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
7.2
0
1-2
42%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
7.0
0
1-1
47%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
2.5
0
0-1
41%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.5
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.7
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.1
36.9
32.1
8
29%
6
5
1
1
3
0
1
5
2-4
50%
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.7
36.2
36.8
8
37%
5
4
0
1
1
2
0
5
3-4
75%
1-6
5-10
17%
49%
1-3
33%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.1
35.8
33.5
22
56%
3
5
4
1
2
3
1
2
5-6
83%
4-11
3-6
36%
47%
3-6
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.7
33.9
32.6
21
68%
4
5
1
1
0
2
3
1
1-1
100%
10-15
6-12
67%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.2
28.9
24.1
4
100%
9
4
1
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
2-2
4-8
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.7
25.9
20.6
15
63%
8
2
1
1
4
1
4
4
1-2
50%
7-11
2-5
64%
51%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.2
20.3
23.4
8
57%
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
43%
0-2
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
12.2
22.9
6
39%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
2-4
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
44%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.1
5.6
18.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.2
4.3
11.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.5
11.3
0
1-3
52%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.9
3.2
0
0-0
41%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.8
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.0
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.