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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 4, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Cavaliers37%10192
4Suns63%105103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 22.8
43
40
27
5
8
2
2
4
3
1
4
2-2
100%
8-21
8-17
38%
48%
3-5
60%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.7
38
32
6
4
4
1
1
0
4
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.1
38
33
22
14
0
0
1
0
4
1
13
2-4
50%
10-16
6-12
63%
47%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.4
37
33
22
13
0
0
1
2
1
7
6
4-4
100%
9-19
5-11
47%
47%
0-1
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.8
30
31
6
2
4
1
1
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-8
43%
40%
0-2
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.2
23
16
3
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
1-3
33%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 24.0
18
23
2
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.8
13
3
4
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.8
15
0
1-3
43%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.4
9
0
1-1
47%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.9
4
0
1-1
41%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.8
3
0
0-1
43%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.2
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.5
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.5
46
34
23
12
1
2
2
2
1
2
10
7-8
88%
5-12
4-8
42%
55%
2-5
40%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
40
30
8
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
2-8
25%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.1
40
28
8
5
2
3
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
4-11
4-8
36%
50%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.6
38
24
16
8
3
2
0
2
3
0
8
4-4
100%
6-12
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 33.7
35
30
30
4
10
1
1
0
5
0
4
5-5
100%
11-16
4-8
69%
53%
1-3
33%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 24.9
23
28
14
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-6
33%
6-10
4-7
60%
50%
0-4
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.5
13
17
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-2
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.0
5
13
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.4
9
0
1-2
44%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.7
4
0
0-1
44%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.2
2
0
0-1
45%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.1
1
0
0-0
47%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.