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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 6, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Suns57%106115
15Bobcats43%10483
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.6
38.5
30.0
15
55%
5
11
1
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
6-12
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
35.0
34.3
16
67%
6
4
0
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
4-9
44%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.5
29.0
38.9
16
73%
11
1
2
2
0
1
2
9
0-0
-
5-8
5-9
63%
55%
2-3
67%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 33.7
26.0
32.0
10
56%
6
7
0
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
4-7
5-9
57%
54%
0-1
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.1
24.4
32.5
11
52%
7
1
1
1
0
3
3
4
5-6
83%
3-6
4-9
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 24.9
35.8
25.5
16
43%
3
4
3
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
5-11
4-7
45%
50%
1-6
17%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.2
16.3
1.3
13
71%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
3-5
60%
5-7
0-0
71%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.0
16.1
9.5
14
88%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
47%
2-3
67%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.5
8.0
14.7
2
25%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.4
6.8
5.7
0
0%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.7
4.2
3.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.0
27.8
1
7-13
54%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
28.0
38.5
12
42%
4
1
1
2
1
5
2
2
4-5
80%
4-10
6-12
40%
52%
0-2
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
26.6
37.8
11
46%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
2-4
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.4
26.0
39.1
12
47%
0
3
0
2
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
3-9
4-11
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.1
22.1
36.0
0
0%
7
0
1
1
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
0-6
6-11
0%
48%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
5.6
20.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.0
26.3
20.6
11
69%
2
4
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.2
25.2
14.4
11
60%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
0-2
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.3
19.6
8.1
16
60%
11
1
1
0
0
2
6
5
6-12
50%
5-7
1-2
71%
45%
0-1
0%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
18.3
3.7
6
30%
7
0
0
0
2
1
5
2
0-0
-
3-10
0-1
30%
47%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
18.1
7.5
2
25%
6
1
0
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.3
12.4
8.4
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
11.8
7.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.6
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.