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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 6, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Magic67%97111
30Timberwolves33%91103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
39.6
35.5
27
77%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
3-8
5-9
38%
50%
7-9
78%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.9
39.0
35.4
28
74%
16
1
1
1
0
0
5
11
12-16
75%
8-12
6-10
67%
57%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.5
38.8
29.7
9
49%
9
3
0
1
0
1
3
6
4-5
80%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
1-6
17%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.3
37.0
10.6
18
58%
3
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
6-8
75%
6-11
1-3
55%
44%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.6
31.9
35.2
14
38%
6
4
2
1
0
2
0
6
5-8
63%
3-9
4-10
33%
46%
1-6
17%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.2
24.5
12.4
9
75%
3
4
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
43%
1-2
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.5
19.7
18.3
4
52%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.7
9.0
11.6
2
36%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
2-4
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.4
0.5
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
12.6
0
2-3
49%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 36.6
8.7
0
1-1
54%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.7
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.7
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.4
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.1
39.3
24.3
18
65%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
48%
2-6
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.8
35.2
34.9
25
57%
10
1
1
1
0
3
2
8
3-4
75%
11-20
7-14
55%
50%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.4
27.1
32.4
4
34%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
40%
0-1
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.2
25.2
29.4
9
50%
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
7-9
78%
1-5
4-8
20%
46%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
10.7
22.8
8
100%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.9
29.6
14.2
10
51%
5
10
1
1
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-8
1-2
38%
42%
1-1
100%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.7
29.1
12.1
10
56%
6
2
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.2
21.7
9.0
6
32%
5
2
0
0
0
1
1
4
2-3
67%
2-6
1-2
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.0
15.3
21.3
13
70%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-3
33%
6-8
3-6
75%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 22.9
4.4
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.4
2.5
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
24.9
0
2-4
48%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.8
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.1
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.