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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 6, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29SuperSonics39%10198
25Kings61%105104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.8
34.0
32.6
6
21%
5
3
1
2
0
1
2
3
0-1
0%
3-13
3-7
23%
45%
0-1
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.1
33.6
34.4
27
58%
7
4
1
1
0
6
2
5
2-3
67%
8-13
6-13
62%
46%
3-9
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
30.6
29.7
7
45%
10
0
1
1
1
3
1
9
3-4
75%
2-6
6-12
33%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.4
29.9
26.4
4
38%
2
8
2
1
0
3
1
1
2-3
67%
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.9
18.2
13.6
2
100%
5
0
2
0
2
4
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
31.5
15.2
32
92%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
7-8
2-5
88%
48%
5-8
63%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.0
27.9
26.0
12
77%
7
0
0
1
1
1
5
2
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.7
18.1
9.5
4
40%
3
3
3
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
10.3
21.6
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.3
5.9
20.4
2
33%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.8
12.9
0
2-4
50%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
3.6
0
0-1
48%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.5
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.9
43.1
34.7
23
61%
5
2
2
1
0
3
2
3
8-9
89%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.8
42.4
38.4
31
60%
7
5
5
1
0
3
2
5
8-11
73%
10-15
6-11
67%
52%
1-6
17%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.6
37.3
28.6
16
59%
11
2
1
1
1
0
4
7
6-6
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
31.6
32.2
9
39%
4
4
1
1
2
3
1
3
4-6
67%
1-7
4-8
14%
51%
1-2
50%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.0
29.6
24.1
4
50%
4
0
1
1
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
27.3
18.8
13
55%
3
2
3
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
2-5
40%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.3
18.1
12.6
8
62%
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-1
0%
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 25.8
6.8
12.5
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-1
0%
Darryl Watkins
C · 6'11" 258 · 23.0
2.3
17.7
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.9
1.5
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.0
11.0
1
1-3
46%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.3
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.5
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.5
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.