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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Heat21%8878
1Spurs79%9888
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.1
37.2
33.9
14
54%
5
2
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
33.5
33.2
10
63%
9
0
1
1
1
3
2
7
0-0
-
5-8
6-12
63%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.0
31.5
33.9
9
57%
1
7
3
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
0-2
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.7
30.9
28.9
17
49%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
5-10
50%
6-13
6-11
46%
56%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.9
20.6
31.4
9
56%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
5-7
71%
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.3
29.1
10.6
8
67%
4
5
3
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
2-3
67%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.4
27.3
11.1
4
22%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.7
14.9
15.2
3
31%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.9
14.0
12.9
4
33%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
0.5
12.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.7
0.5
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.5
17.7
1
2-4
42%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.2
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
41.4
36.8
23
61%
1
8
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
9-13
8-15
69%
51%
1-4
25%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.4
33.1
27.3
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-3
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.5
30.8
33.7
12
56%
8
3
0
1
1
2
0
8
4-4
100%
4-9
7-14
44%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.7
24.1
24.4
4
23%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-2
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-5
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.6
8.7
16.1
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.7
35.5
20.4
12
52%
14
1
1
1
1
1
6
8
0-1
0%
6-11
2-4
55%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.3
34.9
28.8
25
81%
7
7
1
2
0
4
1
6
5-8
63%
4-5
3-7
80%
48%
4-7
57%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
19.5
13.7
5
31%
3
0
2
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
1-6
17%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.9
10.9
19.7
3
75%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Darius Washington
G · 6'2" 195 · 21.9
0.5
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.0
0.5
2.5
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
10.6
0
1-1
47%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.7
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.