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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Grizzlies51%112105
28SuperSonics49%11198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.2
42.9
23.5
25
54%
10
2
2
1
3
0
6
4
8-9
89%
7-15
3-7
47%
46%
1-4
25%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.7
40.0
37.2
20
67%
8
2
0
1
0
5
2
6
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
52%
6-10
60%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.3
33.7
35.6
11
46%
10
3
0
1
0
4
3
7
7-7
100%
2-9
7-13
22%
53%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.4
30.0
28.1
15
68%
10
1
1
1
2
2
4
6
5-7
71%
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.2
18.4
22.1
14
70%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
43%
2-3
67%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.6
21.0
21.4
8
43%
5
2
1
1
0
1
3
2
3-5
60%
1-6
2-4
17%
44%
1-1
100%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
15.6
18.4
2
21%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-4
50%
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-3
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.5
12.8
7.6
4
33%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.4
9.9
17.6
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.1
8.5
9.5
2
20%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.3
7.2
8.7
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
3.7
0
0-1
51%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.6
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
34.7
30.0
21
71%
8
1
2
1
2
0
2
6
3-4
75%
9-13
6-12
69%
54%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.8
33.1
32.9
18
75%
5
1
0
2
2
5
1
4
0-0
-
6-8
4-9
75%
45%
2-4
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.1
31.6
33.7
17
40%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
10-10
100%
2-13
7-13
15%
49%
1-4
25%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.4
29.9
27.9
8
44%
3
8
1
1
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
43%
0-3
0%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.9
16.8
16.7
4
52%
5
0
1
0
2
2
3
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.0
25.2
27.0
4
25%
8
1
1
1
2
2
4
4
0-0
-
2-8
4-7
25%
51%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
20.5
22.5
6
50%
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.3
16.3
14.7
10
59%
4
2
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-1
0%
5-8
2-4
63%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
16.1
16.5
8
68%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.7
13.5
14.3
2
25%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.8
2.3
8.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
2.8
0
0-1
49%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.1
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.