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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 8, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Pistons48%9293
12Bulls52%9397
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.1
42.0
33.8
36
62%
9
1
0
1
0
0
2
7
9-11
82%
9-17
3-8
53%
45%
3-7
43%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.2
37.6
26.0
7
61%
9
2
2
1
0
2
0
9
3-4
75%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.1
37.5
34.2
14
54%
3
6
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.7
37.0
36.1
5
44%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
3-6
50%
1-3
4-9
33%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.7
35.7
33.0
18
47%
4
6
2
1
0
2
4
0
5-5
100%
5-14
6-13
36%
46%
1-3
33%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.2
20.7
21.9
4
50%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.7
11.8
23.5
2
33%
2
0
0
1
2
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
10.5
17.7
5
87%
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
2-5
100%
42%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.1
3.7
13.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.2
3.6
8.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.5
8.6
0
1-2
48%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.9
3.1
0
0-0
38%
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.8
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.0
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.8
42.9
30.4
8
34%
5
14
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
3-9
3-8
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.2
36.1
25.0
19
67%
14
1
2
1
2
2
3
11
3-5
60%
8-12
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
32.3
37.4
17
50%
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
8-16
7-14
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
27.8
37.0
16
48%
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
5-6
83%
4-11
4-10
36%
45%
1-3
33%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
24.9
27.0
6
36%
7
1
2
1
0
2
1
6
0-1
0%
3-8
2-4
38%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.2
25.3
17.6
6
47%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.3
22.4
21.6
13
55%
4
1
3
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
6-11
3-7
55%
46%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.9
16.4
17.5
10
56%
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
11.9
16.6
2
57%
5
4
1
0
0
3
5
0
2-4
50%
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
12.8
0
1-3
43%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.3
1.8
0
0-0
45%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.9
1.7
0
0-0
48%
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 22.7
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.8
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.