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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 8, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks58%106120
14Warriors42%103115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.4
38.7
33.6
22
57%
11
3
0
1
1
2
1
10
8-10
80%
4-10
7-14
40%
50%
2-5
40%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.7
35.4
21.0
21
68%
5
7
1
1
0
4
0
5
8-8
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.5
31.6
25.3
24
64%
7
3
0
1
0
1
0
7
3-4
75%
9-13
4-9
69%
49%
1-4
25%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.8
15.7
33.3
4
67%
5
1
0
1
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
5.2
16.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.1
36.3
33.2
24
71%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-11
5-9
55%
51%
4-6
67%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.5
32.2
12.6
10
57%
12
0
0
0
2
3
5
7
4-4
100%
3-7
2-3
43%
47%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.0
31.2
24.2
15
55%
5
6
0
1
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
3-5
3-6
60%
44%
2-7
29%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.7
13.6
20.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.7
13.0
0
2-4
45%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.7
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.4
2.4
0
0-1
50%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.2
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.1
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.6
47.9
39.7
37
62%
5
5
1
2
0
2
1
4
6-9
67%
11-20
6-12
55%
47%
3-6
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.0
47.9
32.3
12
32%
3
7
0
2
0
1
0
3
4-8
50%
4-14
5-10
29%
48%
0-1
0%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
43.5
28.2
27
56%
11
4
1
1
0
1
5
6
5-9
56%
8-14
3-6
57%
47%
2-6
33%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.6
42.9
36.9
9
58%
10
2
1
1
5
1
2
8
1-4
25%
4-6
4-7
67%
59%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.7
32.8
32.8
20
71%
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
47%
4-8
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.7
16.1
21.4
7
70%
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.6
7.7
8.6
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.4
1.1
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Stephane Lasme
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
0.1
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
22.5
1
1-2
50%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.6
9.9
0
1-2
45%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.1
4.7
0
1-1
46%
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 22.7
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 31.7
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.