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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 9, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Grizzlies46%10298
29Trail Blazers54%103110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.2
41.3
34.3
31
61%
3
0
2
1
2
1
0
3
1-3
33%
9-17
4-10
53%
45%
4-7
57%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.7
40.8
37.6
9
33%
7
4
0
1
0
2
1
6
3-4
75%
3-10
3-7
30%
51%
0-2
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.4
29.0
28.6
7
25%
10
2
0
1
0
2
3
7
1-2
50%
3-13
3-7
23%
47%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.3
27.3
33.9
19
81%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
8-10
6-11
80%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.2
17.1
19.8
1
9%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.6
30.1
20.8
14
59%
7
3
0
1
0
2
5
2
7-9
78%
2-6
2-4
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.1
16.9
8.3
8
90%
1
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
1-1
100%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
14.4
12.3
6
50%
7
0
0
0
1
2
2
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
9.1
15.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-2
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.5
8.2
8.9
3
75%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
1-2
50%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.4
3.4
12.9
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-2
0%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.6
2.4
20.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.3
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.3
40.3
36.5
22
52%
4
8
2
1
0
0
1
3
4-5
80%
9-18
6-13
50%
49%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
40.2
26.1
30
65%
10
2
3
1
3
2
1
9
6-7
86%
12-20
6-11
60%
51%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 20.9
36.2
36.1
17
72%
5
1
0
1
2
1
0
5
4-4
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.7
35.6
29.7
7
58%
4
8
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.5
19.0
19.1
6
60%
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.0
25.8
24.4
21
77%
5
4
2
1
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
2-3
67%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.1
21.4
21.4
5
36%
5
0
1
1
0
3
2
3
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.1
15.8
19.4
0
0%
6
0
0
0
2
3
3
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.4
5.7
10.7
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.1
7.4
0
0-1
43%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.4
5.5
0
1-1
50%
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 20.9
2.1
0
0-1
44%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 20.7
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 19.8
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.