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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 11, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Heat44%9975
21Knicks56%10172
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
42.6
36.3
16
58%
16
3
1
1
0
2
6
10
0-2
0%
8-13
7-13
62%
50%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.1
40.5
38.1
14
44%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
5-10
50%
49%
2-9
22%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.0
39.0
37.1
17
52%
1
5
3
1
0
3
0
1
3-5
60%
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
2-5
40%
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.3
36.2
19.2
5
31%
5
6
4
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
1-5
20%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.7
36.0
31.8
14
54%
9
2
1
0
3
2
3
6
0-0
-
7-13
8-13
54%
58%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.4
16.3
23.6
5
50%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.8
12.0
13.3
4
100%
4
0
0
0
1
4
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
6.2
4.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-3
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.9
5.8
20.3
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.9
5.4
8.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.5
8.2
0
1-2
46%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
1.0
0
0-0
52%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.3
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.7
42.7
34.6
14
44%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
46%
2-6
33%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.6
40.0
37.4
13
40%
1
4
2
1
1
3
0
1
4-5
80%
3-8
4-9
38%
45%
1-6
17%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.5
39.1
20.1
14
44%
14
0
1
1
1
3
2
12
2-2
100%
6-15
3-5
40%
58%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 24.9
33.5
33.7
19
65%
6
0
0
1
0
4
3
3
5-6
83%
7-12
7-12
58%
56%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.6
31.4
31.8
8
45%
9
0
2
1
0
1
3
6
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
20.8
9.7
2
26%
3
0
2
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.0
14.0
3.5
0
0%
0
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
40%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.3
13.2
15.3
2
25%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.4
3.1
19.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
43%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.7
2.2
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.5
4.5
0
1-1
46%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 21.9
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.