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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 11, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets71%9785
23Bobcats29%9082
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.2
39.9
37.9
34
92%
8
4
0
1
3
6
2
6
8-8
100%
13-15
9-17
87%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.2
36.2
36.4
2
17%
10
0
0
1
2
3
3
7
2-4
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-3
0%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.5
36.2
36.5
26
54%
8
4
1
1
0
3
2
6
7-9
78%
8-17
8-16
47%
47%
1-3
33%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.3
29.4
26.6
6
33%
2
3
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
42%
2-5
40%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.4
22.4
23.1
2
33%
8
1
2
1
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
57%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
25.5
23.8
2
17%
6
3
1
1
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-6
4-8
17%
47%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.4
22.0
21.5
5
43%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.5
15.8
13.3
6
63%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
12.6
13.9
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 22.8
11.1
0
1-2
43%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.4
2.8
0
0-1
47%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.4
2.7
0
0-0
52%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.7
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.1
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
38.5
28.6
16
37%
6
3
2
1
1
3
2
4
1-1
100%
6-17
3-6
35%
46%
1-4
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.4
38.4
27.6
16
50%
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
40%
2-4
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
35.9
35.7
10
36%
5
2
2
2
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-11
6-11
36%
50%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.1
35.2
33.1
12
54%
11
0
3
1
2
3
1
10
4-5
80%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
14.1
13.9
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.2
29.9
23.8
17
78%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
42%
3-4
75%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
20.9
23.0
0
0%
1
7
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
42%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
14.3
12.5
7
66%
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2
3-3
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.3
12.8
14.2
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.3
10.5
0
1-1
42%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
8.4
0
1-3
43%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
8.4
0
1-2
48%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.3
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.6
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.