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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 11, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bucks16%8888
1Spurs84%101113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.9
32.4
35.7
17
55%
4
6
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-3
33%
8-13
5-11
62%
45%
0-1
0%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
28.4
38.2
14
71%
4
2
2
1
0
3
1
3
10-11
91%
2-3
6-13
67%
47%
0-2
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.0
27.6
29.7
13
47%
7
0
1
1
3
2
2
5
1-2
50%
6-12
4-9
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.1
24.7
25.6
4
23%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
2-8
3-8
25%
43%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.0
20.8
28.7
10
56%
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.4
27.7
13.4
8
57%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.7
21.2
23.3
7
55%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.2
18.1
16.2
8
36%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.9
16.9
4.4
2
15%
3
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
0-6
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.8
12.1
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.0
10.0
3.3
5
51%
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
12.9
0
2-3
49%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.7
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.5
26.7
33.4
16
83%
10
3
1
1
4
1
1
9
6-6
100%
5-7
7-13
71%
53%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.4
25.7
30.2
3
75%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
24.6
38.5
12
52%
1
5
1
1
1
2
0
1
4-6
67%
4-8
8-15
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.7
19.8
20.8
17
71%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
3-7
43%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.6
12.4
19.1
6
87%
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-1
0%
3-3
2-4
100%
56%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
27.5
8.8
3
26%
3
2
2
0
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.7
26.0
23.0
12
61%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
24.8
15.1
0
0%
9
2
0
0
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Darius Washington
G · 6'2" 195 · 21.9
23.4
8.6
11
80%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.3
18.7
31.3
21
90%
3
1
2
2
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
50%
3-5
60%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.0
10.4
1.4
12
68%
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1
4-4
100%
4-7
0-0
57%
53%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.9
10.4
0
0-1
53%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.7
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.