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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 12, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Hornets42%9584
13Nets58%9782
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.5
36.9
32.1
27
62%
6
7
3
2
0
5
0
6
2-2
100%
8-16
5-10
50%
46%
3-5
60%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.2
33.5
31.0
13
45%
8
5
1
1
0
3
0
8
1-1
100%
6-14
7-14
43%
48%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.1
33.4
29.3
14
60%
12
1
0
0
3
1
4
8
4-4
100%
5-10
4-6
50%
56%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.4
31.2
28.2
12
50%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
46%
4-7
57%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
29.3
21.8
10
113%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
3-3
100%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.7
18.8
21.9
3
31%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.5
17.0
22.7
3
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.0
14.5
15.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.0
14.5
9.7
0
0%
3
1
2
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
39%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.1
11.1
13.7
2
20%
1
0
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
40%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.5
9.0
0
1-2
44%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
4.4
0
0-1
46%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.4
42.9
38.6
32
61%
6
4
2
1
0
2
0
6
7-7
100%
11-20
6-12
55%
50%
1-3
33%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
41.3
27.9
12
38%
4
4
2
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-11
3-5
27%
49%
1-3
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.6
36.9
35.8
14
54%
9
10
0
2
1
2
2
7
2-2
100%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
2-5
40%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
29.6
17.8
12
43%
10
1
0
0
0
1
2
8
0-2
0%
6-13
4-7
46%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.9
23.1
17.9
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
19.6
6.1
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
19.4
8.1
6
53%
8
0
1
0
4
1
2
6
4-6
67%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.4
15.8
20.1
4
33%
2
1
0
0
1
5
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.4
11.5
13.8
0
0%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.8
33.7
1
5-11
47%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.5
14.8
0
2-3
47%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.0
5.0
0
1-1
51%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.