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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 13, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Heat48%9276
22Bobcats52%9391
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.0
30.5
37.2
8
40%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.1
29.9
38.1
6
23%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-11
4-9
18%
49%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
27.3
38.5
10
36%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
4-13
7-13
31%
50%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.7
25.0
33.1
17
51%
6
0
1
0
2
2
1
5
3-6
50%
7-14
8-13
50%
57%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.3
19.3
25.6
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
42%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.9
24.7
14.2
0
0%
5
2
1
0
0
2
0
5
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.5
17.3
6.8
9
65%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
14.7
20.3
7
52%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
14.7
0.7
6
68%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-1
0%
3-4
0-0
75%
50%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.0
14.1
7.6
8
57%
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
1-2
57%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
12.5
5.8
5
46%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.8
10.1
12.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.3
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.4
36.4
31.8
6
35%
6
9
1
1
0
2
1
5
4-6
67%
1-3
3-8
33%
42%
0-3
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
32.1
35.3
19
77%
7
3
1
2
1
2
0
7
2-3
67%
7-9
6-11
78%
51%
1-2
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.1
31.7
33.5
13
54%
10
1
2
1
0
0
2
8
7-9
78%
3-8
5-9
38%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
31.2
32.0
18
60%
8
4
0
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
4-5
80%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
15.5
14.0
6
34%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
30.9
21.9
6
43%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.2
20.9
25.9
10
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-6
29%
44%
2-3
67%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
16.7
13.2
0
0%
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.3
10.8
13.7
3
39%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
7.9
5.9
6
60%
3
0
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
6.0
5.9
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.3
7.7
0
0-1
43%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.6
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.3
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.