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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 13, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Lakers28%9592
2Spurs72%103107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.2
38.4
37.8
18
47%
9
5
2
1
3
3
0
9
0-0
-
9-14
8-16
64%
47%
0-5
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.0
32.9
34.8
12
67%
6
4
0
1
1
4
1
5
0-0
-
6-8
5-10
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.3
22.8
27.5
6
43%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-6
43%
40%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 24.8
21.2
24.6
6
52%
8
0
0
0
2
6
1
7
4-4
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.3
6.2
18.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.0
26.9
25.1
11
81%
12
0
0
0
1
0
4
8
3-4
75%
4-5
4-7
80%
52%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
21.7
29.5
10
52%
6
2
2
1
0
2
2
4
5-6
83%
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.0
21.6
19.0
16
71%
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
48%
1-4
25%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.0
19.5
15.3
4
29%
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.7
14.9
22.9
7
51%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.0
13.9
14.7
2
17%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.9
6.6
0
1-2
46%
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.4
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 19.9
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.4
38.3
28.2
23
90%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
1-5
1-2
20%
42%
6-6
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
34.2
32.7
26
73%
4
9
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
11-16
7-14
69%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.6
30.5
30.6
5
19%
5
4
2
1
3
4
1
4
1-1
100%
2-13
6-12
15%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.7
27.5
20.4
10
35%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-7
2-4
43%
45%
1-7
14%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.6
20.8
16.3
2
50%
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.3
26.7
26.2
17
64%
4
5
2
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
18.8
19.2
15
58%
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
50%
3-7
43%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.7
14.5
24.0
0
0%
6
1
0
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Darius Washington
G · 6'2" 195 · 21.9
13.8
14.7
5
83%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
7.9
16.6
2
33%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.0
3.9
5.4
2
26%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.9
3.3
7.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.