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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Jazz53%10392
15Raptors47%10288
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
40.1
35.0
8
44%
9
11
5
1
2
5
2
7
6-7
86%
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.4
40.0
36.8
22
61%
3
5
2
1
0
4
1
2
6-7
86%
8-14
5-11
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.7
38.2
26.3
12
43%
6
2
1
2
0
0
1
5
6-7
86%
3-8
4-7
38%
52%
0-3
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.0
36.8
33.3
23
43%
14
1
2
1
1
1
4
10
5-6
83%
9-24
9-16
38%
54%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.5
30.9
26.2
13
72%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
3-4
75%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.4
17.7
19.9
8
57%
4
0
1
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-2
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.9
14.3
11.2
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.8
13.4
22.2
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.5
8.0
8.3
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.7
0.6
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.8
3.6
0
0-1
44%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.4
3.2
0
0-1
42%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.5
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.4
33.2
18.1
15
63%
3
3
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
4-9
2-5
44%
47%
2-2
100%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.6
32.1
27.2
13
36%
5
8
2
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
46%
1-6
17%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.6
31.4
30.7
14
51%
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
4-4
100%
5-12
6-12
42%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.4
30.3
26.4
19
80%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
3-4
75%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.5
19.5
14.2
4
50%
8
2
0
0
2
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
27.5
11.9
4
50%
14
1
2
0
0
2
5
9
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.2
17.3
25.1
6
30%
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
17.1
23.8
5
50%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
15.9
18.4
6
43%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.1
15.7
23.8
2
9%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
47%
0-5
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.1
14.8
1
2-4
45%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
8.8
0
1-1
45%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.7
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.5
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.