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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Pacers29%10290
18Wizards71%110103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
38.7
32.1
17
41%
9
2
1
1
3
1
4
5
3-4
75%
7-17
7-15
41%
44%
0-2
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.6
37.3
33.4
11
40%
4
4
1
1
2
5
0
4
2-2
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
49%
1-5
20%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30.8
33.4
24.4
4
40%
14
1
0
1
0
0
3
11
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.2
29.7
27.6
11
60%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
4-5
80%
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.7
22.5
30.8
15
56%
1
3
1
2
0
5
0
1
3-3
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
42%
2-4
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.9
31.5
13.7
19
71%
2
1
3
1
0
2
2
0
1-1
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
47%
2-3
67%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.7
24.1
21.9
10
43%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
2-7
2-4
29%
49%
1-3
33%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
9.3
15.9
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.7
8.9
14.2
3
75%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-2
50%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.2
4.6
8.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Courtney Sims
C · 6'11" 245 · 24.1
7.3
0
1-2
46%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.0
2.9
0
0-1
42%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.5
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.7
39.8
37.2
25
69%
7
3
4
2
0
3
2
5
7-7
100%
9-14
7-14
64%
48%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
38.5
39.0
7
32%
5
0
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
6-13
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.9
36.3
37.6
30
66%
6
11
1
2
1
3
1
5
9-11
82%
6-10
5-11
60%
48%
3-8
38%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.0
35.5
27.3
16
59%
11
3
0
1
2
1
3
8
6-8
75%
5-10
4-6
50%
55%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.6
23.7
20.8
3
50%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.7
21.9
21.6
12
61%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
51%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.2
20.2
19.1
6
75%
5
1
2
1
3
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
49%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.7
19.9
19.7
4
52%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.2
4.2
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.5
7.7
0
1-2
45%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 21.9
3.3
0
0-1
49%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.