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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29SuperSonics24%95104
16Heat76%10495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.8
36.6
25.5
19
77%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-3
67%
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
3-5
60%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.1
33.5
29.7
18
51%
5
1
1
1
0
5
2
3
3-4
75%
3-10
5-11
30%
43%
3-6
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
32.9
25.2
20
78%
10
2
3
1
0
1
3
7
4-4
100%
8-11
5-9
73%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.4
26.1
18.4
8
69%
2
6
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-1
100%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.1
13.8
15.2
2
25%
9
2
0
0
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.3
29.4
23.9
16
63%
4
6
0
1
0
3
2
2
5-6
83%
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
3-5
60%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
28.1
25.5
9
51%
11
2
1
1
1
2
2
9
3-4
75%
3-7
3-7
43%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
18.8
24.2
6
75%
4
1
0
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-8
75%
44%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
17.5
18.8
6
50%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.8
3.4
9.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
4.9
0
0-1
46%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.5
2.4
0
0-1
43%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.9
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.1
38.0
34.4
19
43%
3
4
2
1
0
2
1
2
9-9
100%
5-14
5-9
36%
50%
0-4
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
33.7
33.6
9
38%
11
0
2
1
1
2
1
10
3-4
75%
3-10
7-13
30%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.0
32.4
34.1
14
54%
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
4-8
50%
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.3
23.9
22.7
2
17%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.7
16.2
29.6
10
102%
3
0
0
0
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
4-4
8-13
100%
58%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.8
24.3
34.6
15
60%
1
5
3
2
1
2
1
0
5-8
63%
5-7
9-17
71%
50%
0-2
0%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.8
23.5
12.0
13
50%
6
1
1
0
1
1
3
3
5-9
56%
4-9
2-3
44%
56%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
16.7
18.3
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.0
15.9
10.8
5
56%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.5
8.8
12.0
8
67%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
2-5
40%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
6.7
7.3
0
0%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.9
19.2
1
2-5
48%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.3
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.