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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 14, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Grizzlies35%10199
21Bucks65%106102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.2
40.1
32.3
26
74%
1
0
2
1
1
1
0
1
5-6
83%
6-10
4-9
60%
46%
3-5
60%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.7
34.1
34.9
17
47%
4
2
0
1
1
1
0
4
4-5
80%
5-9
3-7
56%
51%
1-7
14%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.4
33.5
32.2
10
43%
13
1
0
1
4
2
5
8
2-4
50%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.4
32.6
32.0
16
57%
7
4
0
0
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
8-13
5-10
62%
51%
0-1
0%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.2
15.6
15.9
7
50%
3
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
1-3
33%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.6
22.0
25.7
6
60%
3
3
2
1
0
4
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
42%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.1
18.2
10.8
6
77%
1
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
42%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
14.9
14.2
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
11.8
14.2
7
70%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.4
8.7
12.6
0
0%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.5
8.5
10.9
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.6
8.4
0
1-2
46%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
41.9
33.5
31
63%
6
5
0
1
1
5
4
2
4-4
100%
6-16
6-11
38%
50%
5-7
71%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.0
41.1
25.2
23
64%
12
0
0
1
4
2
4
8
5-9
56%
9-14
4-8
64%
55%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.9
39.3
33.8
10
42%
1
12
3
1
0
5
0
1
2-2
100%
4-10
6-11
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.0
34.0
28.4
6
25%
13
2
1
1
1
0
7
6
0-0
-
3-12
5-10
25%
52%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.1
31.1
25.1
15
58%
5
3
3
1
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
7-12
4-8
58%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.7
17.9
22.3
0
0%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.2
14.0
17.2
13
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
51%
2-4
50%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.4
13.8
20.2
4
41%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
6.9
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.9
10.4
0
1-3
45%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.0
6.7
0
1-2
49%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.6
0.3
0
0-0
40%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.8
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.