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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
November 15, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls28%97102
4Suns72%105112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
44.8
29.3
23
61%
9
1
1
1
2
1
5
4
2-2
100%
9-17
6-12
53%
49%
1-1
100%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.0
41.1
22.6
18
44%
7
0
0
0
1
2
1
6
3-6
50%
6-12
3-6
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
37.7
27.3
17
58%
3
7
2
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
43%
1-2
50%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
37.0
29.0
24
55%
4
2
1
1
0
5
0
4
4-4
100%
7-14
4-8
50%
44%
2-6
33%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
23.1
22.3
5
37%
10
1
1
1
1
1
4
6
3-4
75%
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.2
22.8
22.1
5
43%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.2
17.7
23.9
4
41%
4
4
2
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.3
11.2
17.2
4
29%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
45%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 22.8
4.6
6.0
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
16.7
0
1-3
43%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
16.4
1
2-4
41%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.4
1.5
0
0-0
44%
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 22.9
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.1
39.0
34.3
24
74%
5
3
2
1
1
1
0
5
5-5
100%
8-12
4-8
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.5
38.6
34.4
21
59%
9
2
2
2
2
1
2
7
2-4
50%
8-11
5-9
73%
56%
1-5
20%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 33.8
34.9
33.6
10
41%
2
15
4
1
0
5
0
2
3-3
100%
2-7
5-9
29%
54%
1-4
25%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
34.5
35.6
8
67%
7
3
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
2-5
40%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.0
26.0
24.8
14
56%
6
1
0
1
6
2
0
6
4-8
50%
5-9
6-11
56%
54%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 25.0
34.3
37.4
25
75%
4
3
2
1
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
3-8
5-11
38%
51%
5-7
71%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.6
29.7
32.5
10
48%
7
2
0
1
0
5
3
4
2-3
67%
4-8
4-8
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.5
3.0
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.0
7.5
0
1-2
47%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.1
5.6
0
0-1
44%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.2
3.3
0
1-1
47%
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.4
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.