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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Trail Blazers31%9990
17Wizards69%105109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
39.2
34.1
18
49%
10
2
0
1
1
2
4
6
2-3
67%
8-17
7-15
47%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.7
33.6
30.4
7
44%
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.3
33.4
35.9
12
48%
5
2
0
1
0
4
0
5
7-10
70%
1-5
6-13
20%
48%
1-3
33%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.0
30.2
34.8
13
47%
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
2-4
50%
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.5
14.5
19.6
4
40%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.1
27.9
15.5
5
102%
7
0
0
0
5
1
1
6
1-1
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
22.2
26.9
18
89%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
6-7
86%
3-3
3-6
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.2
20.7
23.0
11
57%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-6
67%
2-3
3-8
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.0
11.6
2.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.5
3.8
3.7
2
100%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.4
2.9
11.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.1
3.6
0
0-1
40%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 20.7
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 19.8
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.7
40.5
19.2
10
39%
5
10
2
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-10
2-3
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
34.5
36.1
30
61%
11
2
1
1
0
1
7
4
4-4
100%
7-15
5-10
47%
48%
4-8
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.7
34.4
40.7
13
45%
5
4
1
2
0
0
3
2
3-3
100%
5-12
7-14
42%
48%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.6
23.7
23.3
0
0%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.0
23.6
31.7
17
71%
10
0
1
1
0
1
4
6
9-9
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.2
26.1
20.4
10
45%
4
3
2
1
3
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.8
19.6
20.6
2
25%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
51%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.2
19.1
3.3
8
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
40%
2-7
29%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.5
14.6
5.2
17
79%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
4-6
1-1
67%
46%
2-3
67%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
3.8
1.8
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.9
36.9
2
5-10
48%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 21.9
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.