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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29SuperSonics33%9884
22Bobcats67%104100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.8
35.3
33.7
19
49%
7
0
2
1
0
0
2
5
7-8
88%
3-12
4-8
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.1
29.3
32.6
16
49%
1
1
1
1
1
3
1
0
10-10
100%
3-10
5-12
30%
46%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
29.0
27.4
1
9%
4
1
2
1
4
2
0
4
1-2
50%
0-5
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
28.4
30.4
24
62%
9
2
2
1
2
1
3
6
8-10
80%
8-15
6-11
53%
53%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.4
27.8
26.3
3
21%
3
5
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
24.2
20.5
11
56%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.3
20.3
20.9
4
33%
4
3
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
18.7
4.4
2
50%
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
13.1
18.1
2
10%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-6
3-5
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.8
10.5
7.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.5
3.6
1.5
2
53%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.1
9.7
0
1-2
47%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.4
39.7
33.3
13
47%
7
12
2
2
0
4
0
7
2-4
50%
4-9
4-9
44%
44%
1-3
33%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
36.6
36.1
27
60%
7
2
2
2
3
3
1
6
6-10
60%
9-16
6-12
56%
53%
1-2
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
33.2
33.2
23
53%
6
2
1
1
1
2
1
5
1-2
50%
5-13
4-9
38%
49%
4-8
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.1
32.5
32.8
12
48%
15
1
0
1
1
2
5
10
0-1
0%
6-12
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
10.8
11.4
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.2
27.4
22.7
14
74%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
3-4
75%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
25.1
18.1
6
61%
7
0
1
1
1
2
5
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
15.2
25.9
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
10.6
11.6
0
0%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
6.4
4.9
3
30%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
53%
1-2
50%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
1.5
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
49%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
0.9
5.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.3
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.6
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.