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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat48%9091
21Nets52%9187
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.8
39.0
33.0
23
45%
6
9
4
2
1
6
1
5
15-20
75%
4-17
7-14
24%
49%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.4
38.5
34.9
6
34%
5
3
2
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-8
6-12
25%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.0
31.6
33.4
2
13%
1
5
5
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
48%
0-2
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.2
26.6
37.0
6
60%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
5-10
60%
47%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.7
25.7
25.4
18
60%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
6-7
86%
6-12
6-10
50%
57%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.3
27.1
17.4
16
133%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
41%
4-4
100%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.6
21.8
12.8
10
56%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.8
21.8
17.2
10
56%
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
54%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.0
7.9
9.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.0
10.0
0
1-2
46%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.1
9.1
0
1-2
40%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
4.8
0
0-1
49%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.3
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
43.4
35.3
14
70%
6
6
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-4
3-7
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.4
40.6
38.3
18
57%
2
1
1
1
0
4
0
2
10-11
91%
4-10
6-13
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.7
39.3
35.9
16
61%
8
15
2
2
0
7
0
8
7-7
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
35.8
18.7
22
71%
8
0
2
0
2
3
3
5
8-10
80%
7-11
2-5
64%
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.5
21.3
8.6
5
51%
7
0
0
0
1
6
0
7
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
16.6
18.5
3
40%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-4
25%
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
15.3
13.6
6
38%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
50%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.4
12.3
25.5
3
39%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.3
9.1
7.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
36%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
6.5
16.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-6
-
43%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.8
12.4
0
2-4
47%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.0
7.9
0
1-2
50%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.0
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.