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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Hornets64%99100
30Timberwolves36%9482
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
35.1
24.3
18
68%
7
3
0
1
0
1
3
4
3-3
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
3-8
38%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.1
32.7
11.1
15
59%
2
7
1
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
4-9
1-3
44%
42%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.1
28.7
34.4
12
87%
7
4
0
1
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
5-6
5-8
83%
59%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.4
28.7
29.4
22
69%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
4-6
67%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.2
25.7
33.3
12
50%
6
1
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
6-12
8-16
50%
51%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.7
24.9
22.1
7
44%
2
5
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
1-5
20%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.0
19.9
12.0
2
50%
2
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.5
19.3
18.6
2
17%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.0
9.8
12.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.5
9.5
3.8
10
83%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-6
0-1
83%
46%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
3.2
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
2.5
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.9
37.1
35.9
20
59%
10
2
0
1
1
3
3
7
0-0
-
10-17
8-16
59%
50%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
27.1
31.3
7
30%
5
2
0
1
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-3
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
24.3
25.7
10
51%
7
1
0
1
0
2
4
3
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.9
21.8
24.1
9
92%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
1-1
100%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.7
21.8
22.6
0
0%
6
3
0
1
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.2
26.2
23.9
12
62%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
5-6
83%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.4
26.2
23.9
15
68%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
2-5
60%
40%
1-1
100%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.2
20.9
17.9
5
42%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.0
17.8
14.2
4
42%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 22.9
8.4
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.8
5.9
2.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.4
2.5
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.8
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.1
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.