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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hawks35%9896
20Bucks65%103105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.4
40.8
40.9
14
41%
0
9
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
5-10
6-13
50%
49%
1-6
17%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.9
39.6
17.7
38
65%
7
2
2
1
3
3
3
4
12-16
75%
13-19
3-6
68%
46%
0-3
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.4
35.3
35.5
10
30%
8
1
1
1
0
2
3
5
0-1
0%
5-16
5-11
31%
47%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.5
15.5
18.0
10
71%
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
44%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.8
14.6
18.8
4
40%
6
0
0
1
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.4
37.6
34.2
9
56%
3
3
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.5
27.6
36.7
8
68%
8
0
0
1
2
1
1
7
0-2
0%
4-5
3-7
80%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.1
19.1
2.2
2
25%
5
3
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
9.2
8.1
1
27%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
0.6
19.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
3.2
0
0-1
44%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
2.3
0
0-0
48%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.8
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.5
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.0
35.0
32.8
21
63%
10
1
3
1
4
2
5
5
1-4
25%
10-15
5-10
67%
55%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.9
32.4
35.9
11
56%
8
10
2
1
0
5
0
8
2-2
100%
3-7
5-11
43%
49%
1-2
50%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.2
31.4
37.1
21
66%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
9-14
6-12
64%
50%
1-2
50%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.1
26.6
27.8
10
56%
4
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
46%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.1
17.1
30.4
5
38%
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
5-6
83%
0-4
5-10
0%
50%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.2
28.3
15.6
17
61%
7
3
1
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
7-12
2-4
58%
51%
1-2
50%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.5
24.0
16.9
10
50%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.7
18.9
19.9
3
39%
2
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.9
13.3
5.9
2
50%
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.8
12.9
8.6
5
51%
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.0
4.2
0
1-1
49%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.6
0.6
0
0-0
47%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.8
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.7
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.