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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Grizzlies12%95105
4Mavericks88%110108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.7
36.7
35.1
23
78%
7
2
0
1
1
4
0
7
3-4
75%
7-11
3-7
64%
49%
2-2
100%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.4
33.4
34.0
15
39%
6
0
1
0
1
3
1
5
3-3
100%
6-18
6-11
33%
50%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.4
31.8
18.5
14
72%
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
37%
2-6
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.3
25.4
34.5
9
35%
4
1
3
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
4-10
33%
43%
1-6
17%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.2
15.2
17.5
2
25%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
39%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.6
27.6
25.5
7
70%
3
7
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
39%
1-1
100%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.4
26.8
8.5
17
72%
5
0
1
0
0
2
3
2
3-4
75%
7-10
1-3
70%
48%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
17.7
18.0
9
51%
6
1
0
1
2
2
3
3
3-4
75%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.7
14.3
5.6
7
72%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
6.2
10.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.1
5.1
9.9
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
39%
0-1
0%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
4.5
0
1-1
46%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.4
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
41.2
31.4
27
58%
7
0
2
1
0
1
2
5
1-1
100%
13-22
6-11
59%
51%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.7
35.0
31.4
19
55%
1
8
5
2
0
3
0
1
9-12
75%
5-11
5-9
45%
53%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.4
33.0
36.1
21
55%
9
2
1
1
0
4
3
6
9-14
64%
6-13
7-13
46%
52%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.8
31.4
23.2
6
80%
11
2
1
1
3
0
3
8
2-4
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.8
12.9
14.2
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.2
27.3
31.1
10
45%
1
5
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
53%
2-4
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.0
21.6
23.3
7
42%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.5
19.1
20.8
11
71%
6
0
0
0
1
2
1
5
3-4
75%
4-5
3-6
80%
49%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.3
12.3
16.1
5
51%
8
0
0
0
2
0
4
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.7
6.4
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
7.6
0
1-2
47%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.8
5.6
0
1-1
48%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.4
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.1
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.