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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 19, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Trail Blazers39%9492
19Bobcats61%98101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.3
40.6
34.5
17
49%
5
5
0
1
0
3
1
4
9-10
90%
4-11
5-11
36%
48%
0-2
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.0
36.0
32.8
15
47%
6
0
0
1
4
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
3-8
38%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.7
32.9
31.0
14
88%
6
3
1
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
4-5
80%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.5
27.1
17.7
9
43%
8
1
1
0
0
3
2
6
1-1
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
20.4
35.1
7
45%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-6
7-15
33%
51%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.2
32.7
22.1
8
40%
5
1
1
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
30.2
25.0
18
88%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
49%
1-1
100%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.1
13.6
19.5
4
45%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-1
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.4
6.0
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 20.7
0.6
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.0
5.9
0
0-1
41%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.5
3.5
0
0-1
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.1
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
41.3
35.7
27
58%
4
1
6
2
1
3
0
4
7-10
70%
10-17
6-11
59%
53%
0-2
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
39.8
32.6
24
56%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-1
0%
9-15
4-9
60%
48%
2-6
33%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.4
37.1
35.5
24
73%
2
10
2
2
1
2
0
2
9-10
90%
6-10
4-9
60%
43%
1-2
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.1
37.0
32.2
12
51%
12
0
1
1
3
1
4
8
2-4
50%
5-10
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
11.0
11.3
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-2
0%
0-3
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.2
32.4
24.5
5
28%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
45%
1-3
33%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
18.4
20.8
2
25%
2
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
11.2
20.9
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
8.5
5.8
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
3.3
11.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
3.8
0
1-1
49%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
1.6
0
0-0
49%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.3
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.3
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.