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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 19, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29SuperSonics39%105108
24Grizzlies61%109125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
30.8
21.5
11
40%
14
1
1
1
0
1
8
6
3-4
75%
4-12
3-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.9
30.6
33.8
11
40%
5
6
1
1
0
1
3
2
3-4
75%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.1
29.9
31.3
11
48%
2
2
0
1
0
5
0
2
7-8
88%
2-8
5-12
25%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.4
21.6
26.5
11
56%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
20.7
29.4
16
69%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
4-6
67%
6-9
6-11
67%
54%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.3
26.4
20.5
17
78%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
3-3
100%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
24.0
16.3
11
65%
5
1
0
0
0
3
0
5
1-1
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
49%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
19.1
27.7
11
58%
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
2
1-1
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.8
17.8
8.9
2
33%
7
1
0
0
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
13.2
9.4
4
52%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.5
6.0
2.5
3
26%
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
1-2
50%
1-5
0-1
20%
47%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.1
7.3
0
1-2
47%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.0
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.3
31.5
31.2
12
47%
7
4
2
1
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
2-8
4-9
25%
47%
2-4
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.4
30.4
33.5
14
63%
7
5
1
1
7
3
1
6
4-5
80%
5-9
7-13
56%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.7
26.2
35.3
19
69%
3
7
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
53%
3-4
75%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.0
24.5
17.9
24
68%
5
4
1
1
1
1
3
2
4-8
50%
10-14
3-5
71%
49%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.2
22.4
16.6
16
96%
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
3-3
100%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.7
25.6
25.9
12
62%
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
4-6
67%
4-6
3-6
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.4
25.0
14.8
16
62%
5
1
1
0
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
8-13
3-5
62%
52%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.4
21.6
22.5
8
80%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
21.4
9.3
2
25%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 23.7
5.8
9.5
2
33%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
5.8
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.5
6.3
0
0-1
45%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.4
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.