Final Win Prob. pScore
269%99
95
2031%92
83
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo Spurs
110.58680.9
ATL logo Hawks
95.48792.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL95
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLHAWKS Rebound95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASMISS Washington 28' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASElson Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:25ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS)95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Oberto95
81
Q4 - 1:33ATLSUB: Jones FOR Horford95
81
Q4 - 1:33SASSUB: Elson FOR Ginobili95
81
Q4 - 1:33SASSUB: Udoka FOR Parker95
81
Q4 - 1:33SASSUB: Bonner FOR Duncan95
81
Q4 - 1:33SASSUB: Washington FOR Bowen95
81
Q4 - 1:33ATLSUB: Childress FOR Williams95
81
Q4 - 1:33SASBowen P.FOUL (P2.T1)95
81
Q4 - 1:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40SASMISS Duncan 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:04SASOberto REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05ATLMISS Smith Hook Shot95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:23SASGinobili 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44ATLMISS Smith Layup93
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 2:56SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)92
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 2:56ATLHorford S.FOUL (P4.T4)91
81
Q4 - 3:13SASOberto REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)91
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 3:15SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot91
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 3:26SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley91
81
Q4 - 3:26SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)91
81
Q4 - 3:26ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Childress91
81
Q4 - 3:26ATLHorford P.FOUL (P3.T3)91
81
Q4 - 3:40ATLWilliams Running Dunk (16 PTS)91
99.0%
81
1.0%
Q4 - 3:44SASWilliams STEAL (4 STL)91
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 3:57SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 3:59SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot91
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 4:13ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)91
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 4:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 4:18SASMISS Bowen Driving Layup91
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 4:42ATLHorford Putback Layup (11 PTS)91
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 4:44ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
99.7%
77
0.3%
Q4 - 4:46ATLMISS Horford Layup91
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 5:06SASDuncan Layup (11 PTS)91
99.4%
77
0.6%
Q4 - 5:25ATLJohnson 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)89
99.2%
77
0.8%
Q4 - 5:47ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)89
75
Q4 - 5:49SASParker Driving Layup (31 PTS)89
99.4%
75
0.6%
Q4 - 6:03ATLChildress Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)87
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 6:19SASFinley 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)87
98.4%
75
1.6%
Q4 - 6:26ATLSUB: Smith FOR Johnson85
75
Q4 - 6:26ATLChildress Violation:Kicked Ball85
75
Q4 - 6:44ATLJohnson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)85
97.9%
75
2.1%
Q4 - 6:56ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)85
98.4%
73
1.6%
Q4 - 6:57SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot85
98.6%
73
1.4%
Q4 - 7:19ATLJohnson 10' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)85
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 7:42SASParker 13' Jump Bank Shot (29 PTS)85
98.9%
71
1.1%
Q4 - 8:08SASSUB: Finley FOR Udoka83
71
Q4 - 8:08SASSUB: Oberto FOR Elson83
71
Q4 - 8:08SASSUB: Duncan FOR Bonner83
71
Q4 - 8:08SASSUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili83
71
Q4 - 8:0883
71
Q4 - 8:08SASSpurs Rebound83
98.1%
71
1.9%
Q4 - 8:10ATLMISS Johnson Dunk83
98.0%
71
2.0%
Q4 - 8:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
97.6%
71
2.4%
Q4 - 8:15SASMISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
97.8%
71
2.2%
Q4 - 8:37SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
98.1%
71
1.9%
Q4 - 8:39ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot83
98.0%
71
2.0%
Q4 - 8:45ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
97.6%
71
2.4%
Q4 - 8:47SASHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)83
97.8%
71
2.2%
Q4 - 9:15ATLJohnson 8' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)83
97.7%
71
2.3%
Q4 - 9:19ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
98.2%
69
1.8%
Q4 - 9:21SASWilliams BLOCK (2 BLK)83
98.3%
69
1.7%
Q4 - 9:41ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)83
98.6%
69
1.4%
Q4 - 9:43ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
98.2%
69
1.8%
Q4 - 9:44SASMISS Udoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
98.3%
69
1.7%
Q4 - 10:09SASUdoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
98.3%
69
1.7%
Q4 - 10:11ATLMISS Horford Driving Layup83
98.2%
69
1.8%
Q4 - 10:22SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn83
69
Q4 - 10:24ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
97.9%
69
2.1%
Q4 - 10:25SASMISS Udoka 18' Jump Shot83
98.0%
69
2.0%
Q4 - 10:53ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)83
98.3%
69
1.7%
Q4 - 11:12SASGinobili Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)83
98.4%
67
1.6%
Q4 - 11:16ATLSUB: Johnson FOR West83
67
Q4 - 11:16ATLWest P.FOUL (P6.T2)83
67
Q4 - 11:27ATLWest P.FOUL (P5.T1)83
67
Q4 - 11:38ATLChildress Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)83
98.7%
67
1.3%
Q4 - 11:43SASWilliams STEAL (3 STL)83
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q4 - 12:0083
65
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL83
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 31' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.1%
65
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound83
65
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
98.7%
65
1.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASMISS Vaughn 21' Jump Shot83
98.8%
65
1.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0ATLHorford 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)83
98.9%
65
1.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
99.1%
63
0.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0SASMISS Elson 15' Jump Shot83
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q3 - 1:03SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)83
63
Q3 - 1:04ATLWest Running Dunk (5 PTS)83
99.2%
63
0.8%
Q3 - 1:08SASWest STEAL (2 STL)83
99.3%
61
0.7%
Q3 - 1:23ATLWest Running Layup (3 PTS)83
99.4%
61
0.6%
Q3 - 1:29SASWest STEAL (1 STL)83
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 1:33ATLHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)83
99.6%
59
0.4%
Q3 - 1:46SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 1:46SASSpurs Rebound82
59
Q3 - 1:46SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 282
99.5%
59
0.5%
Q3 - 1:46ATLWest P.FOUL (P4.PN)82
59
Q3 - 2:01ATLWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)82
99.4%
59
0.6%
Q3 - 2:01ATLHAWKS Rebound82
58
Q3 - 2:01ATLMISS West Free Throw 1 of 282
99.5%
58
0.5%
Q3 - 2:01SASUdoka S.FOUL (P1.T2)82
58
Q3 - 2:15SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
99.4%
58
0.6%
Q3 - 2:15SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)81
99.4%
58
0.6%
Q3 - 2:15ATLWest P.FOUL (P3.PN)80
58
Q3 - 2:25SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
99.3%
58
0.7%
Q3 - 2:26ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
99.3%
58
0.7%
Q3 - 2:38ATLWest REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)80
99.2%
58
0.8%
Q3 - 2:40ATLMISS Childress 17' Jump Shot80
99.3%
58
0.7%
Q3 - 2:56SASVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
99.2%
58
0.8%
Q3 - 2:56ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Johnson79
58
Q3 - 2:56SASVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
99.2%
58
0.8%
Q3 - 2:56SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan78
58
Q3 - 2:56SASSUB: Udoka FOR Finley78
58
Q3 - 2:56ATLSUB: Williams FOR Smith78
58
Q3 - 2:56ATLWest P.FOUL (P2.PN)78
58
Q3 - 2:59ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)78
99.0%
58
1.0%
Q3 - 3:10ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q3 - 3:11SASMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot78
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q3 - 3:32ATLSmith L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)78
58
Q3 - 3:32SASSpurs Rebound78
98.9%
58
1.1%
Q3 - 3:32ATLMISS Smith Layup78
98.9%
58
1.1%
Q3 - 3:43ATLHAWKS Rebound78
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q3 - 3:43ATLMISS Horford Layup78
98.9%
58
1.1%
Q3 - 3:43SASDuncan Violation:Jump Ball78
58
Q3 - 3:43ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Duncan: Tip to78
58
Q3 - 3:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q3 - 3:44ATLMISS Horford Layup78
98.9%
58
1.1%
Q3 - 3:55ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)78
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q3 - 3:57SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q3 - 4:18ATLHorford 11' Jump Shot (7 PTS)78
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q3 - 4:32SASSUB: Bonner FOR Oberto78
56
Q3 - 4:32SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker78
56
Q3 - 4:32ATLSUB: West FOR Johnson78
56
Q3 - 4:32ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)78
56
Q3 - 4:35SASParker Driving Layup (27 PTS)78
99.0%
56
1.0%
Q3 - 4:44SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
98.8%
56
1.2%
Q3 - 4:46ATLMISS Childress Driving Layup76
98.7%
56
1.3%
Q3 - 5:04SASOberto Layup (10 PTS) (Duncan 6 AST)76
98.3%
56
1.7%
Q3 - 5:23ATLHorford 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)74
98.1%
56
1.9%
Q3 - 5:43SASParker 19' Jump Shot (25 PTS)74
98.3%
54
1.7%
Q3 - 6:03ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
97.9%
54
2.1%
Q3 - 6:03ATLSUB: Childress FOR Williams72
53
Q3 - 6:03ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
97.9%
53
2.1%
Q3 - 6:03SASOberto S.FOUL (P3.T1)72
52
Q3 - 6:18SASGinobili Layup (14 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)72
98.2%
52
1.8%
Q3 - 6:24SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)70
97.9%
52
2.1%
Q3 - 6:25ATLMISS Smith Layup70
97.8%
52
2.2%
Q3 - 6:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
97.5%
52
2.5%
Q3 - 6:33SASMISS Finley 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
97.6%
52
2.4%
Q3 - 6:51ATLSmith Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)70
97.9%
52
2.1%
Q3 - 7:08SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)70
97.9%
50
2.1%
Q3 - 7:08SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen69
50
Q3 - 7:08SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)69
97.8%
50
2.2%
Q3 - 7:08ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T3)68
50
Q3 - 7:10SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
97.6%
50
2.4%
Q3 - 7:12ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
97.2%
50
2.8%
Q3 - 7:12ATLMISS Johnson Tip Shot68
97.5%
50
2.5%
Q3 - 7:14ATLMISS Johnson Layup68
97.5%
50
2.5%
Q3 - 7:20SASWilliams STEAL (2 STL)68
97.2%
50
2.8%
Q3 - 7:32ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
97.6%
50
2.4%
Q3 - 7:47ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
97.9%
48
2.1%
Q3 - 7:48SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
98.0%
48
2.0%
Q3 - 8:02SASSpurs Rebound68
98.1%
48
1.9%
Q3 - 8:02ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot68
98.0%
48
2.0%
Q3 - 8:25ATLSUB: Horford FOR Pachulia68
48
Q3 - 8:25ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)68
48
Q3 - 8:30SASOberto Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)68
97.8%
48
2.2%
Q3 - 8:55ATLPachulia 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)66
97.4%
48
2.6%
Q3 - 9:08SASFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)66
97.7%
46
2.3%
Q3 - 9:17SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
96.9%
46
3.1%
Q3 - 9:19ATLMISS Pachulia Layup63
96.7%
46
3.3%
Q3 - 9:32ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
96.4%
46
3.6%
Q3 - 9:34SASMISS Oberto Free Throw 1 of 163
96.5%
46
3.5%
Q3 - 9:34ATLSmith S.FOUL (P3.T2)63
46
Q3 - 9:34SASOberto Layup (6 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)63
46
Q3 - 9:41ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T1)61
46
Q3 - 9:53SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
95.9%
46
4.1%
Q3 - 9:55ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot61
95.7%
46
4.3%
Q3 - 10:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
95.0%
46
5.0%
Q3 - 10:06SASSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)61
95.2%
46
4.8%
Q3 - 10:25ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)61
95.6%
46
4.4%
Q3 - 10:33ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
96.2%
44
3.8%
Q3 - 10:34ATLMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot61
96.5%
44
3.5%
Q3 - 10:45ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
96.2%
44
3.8%
Q3 - 10:47SASMISS Duncan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot61
96.3%
44
3.7%
Q3 - 11:03SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
96.5%
44
3.5%
Q3 - 11:05SASMISS Duncan 10' Jump Shot61
96.2%
44
3.8%
Q3 - 11:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
96.5%
44
3.5%
Q3 - 11:30ATLMISS Pachulia Layup61
96.4%
44
3.6%
Q3 - 11:35ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
96.0%
44
4.0%
Q3 - 11:38ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot61
96.4%
44
3.6%
Q3 - 12:0061
44
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL61
96.0%
44
4.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound61
96.0%
44
4.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Childress 52' 3PT Jump Shot61
96.4%
44
3.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASUdoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)61
95.9%
44
4.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
94.5%
44
5.5%
Q2 - 0:18.0SASSUB: Udoka FOR Bowen58
43
Q2 - 0:18.0ATLSUB: West FOR Johnson58
43
Q2 - 0:18.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
94.7%
43
5.3%
Q2 - 0:18.0SASFinley S.FOUL (P2.PN)58
42
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
95.3%
42
4.7%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASMISS Ginobili Layup58
95.5%
42
4.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
95.8%
42
4.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASMISS Parker 16' Running Jump Shot58
95.5%
42
4.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
95.8%
42
4.2%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper58
95.6%
42
4.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
95.3%
42
4.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)58
95.5%
42
4.5%
Q2 - 1:00ATLWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T3)58
42
Q2 - 1:10ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
95.6%
42
4.4%
Q2 - 1:10ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford58
41
Q2 - 1:10SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan58
41
Q2 - 1:10ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
95.7%
41
4.3%
Q2 - 1:10SASDuncan S.FOUL (P3.PN)58
40
Q2 - 1:21SASParker Driving Layup (21 PTS)58
96.2%
40
3.8%
Q2 - 1:40ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)56
95.6%
40
4.4%
Q2 - 2:02SASParker 14' Jump Shot (19 PTS)56
96.0%
38
4.0%
Q2 - 2:17ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)54
95.5%
38
4.5%
Q2 - 2:17ATLHAWKS Rebound54
37
Q2 - 2:17ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 254
95.6%
37
4.4%
Q2 - 2:17SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.PN)54
37
Q2 - 2:36SASParker Driving Layup (17 PTS)54
95.5%
37
4.5%
Q2 - 2:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
94.9%
37
5.1%
Q2 - 2:47ATLMISS Johnson 30' 3PT Jump Shot52
94.7%
37
5.3%
Q2 - 3:05SASParker Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)52
94.1%
37
5.9%
Q2 - 3:23ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)50
93.5%
37
6.5%
Q2 - 3:39SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)50
94.1%
35
5.9%
Q2 - 3:57ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
92.7%
35
7.3%
Q2 - 3:57ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
92.8%
34
7.2%
Q2 - 3:57SASFinley S.FOUL (P1.PN)47
33
Q2 - 3:57ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
93.3%
33
6.7%
Q2 - 3:59ATLMISS Williams 6' Hook Shot47
93.9%
33
6.1%
Q2 - 4:16SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)47
93.2%
33
6.8%
Q2 - 4:28SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
33
Q2 - 4:37ATLHorford Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)45
92.4%
33
7.6%
Q2 - 4:40SASBowen Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)45
93.2%
31
6.8%
Q2 - 4:51SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bonner45
31
Q2 - 4:51ATLSUB: Williams FOR Smith45
31
Q2 - 4:51ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P3.T7)45
94.0%
31
6.0%
Q2 - 4:51ATLSmith OFF.Foul (P2)45
31
Q2 - 5:05ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
93.1%
31
6.9%
Q2 - 5:06SASMISS Bonner 21' Jump Shot45
93.3%
31
6.7%
Q2 - 5:27ATLJohnson Driving Layup (6 PTS)45
93.8%
31
6.2%
Q2 - 5:32ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
94.5%
29
5.5%
Q2 - 5:33SASMISS Bowen 9' Jump Shot45
94.6%
29
5.4%
Q2 - 5:48SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
95.0%
29
5.0%
Q2 - 5:50SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
95.0%
29
5.0%
Q2 - 5:50SASMISS Bonner Tip Shot45
94.7%
29
5.3%
Q2 - 5:51SASMISS Parker Layup45
94.7%
29
5.3%
Q2 - 6:12ATLChildress Putback Layup (7 PTS)45
94.8%
29
5.2%
Q2 - 6:13ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)45
95.2%
27
4.8%
Q2 - 6:14ATLMISS Smith Tip Shot45
95.6%
27
4.4%
Q2 - 6:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
95.2%
27
4.8%
Q2 - 6:17ATLMISS Smith Layup45
95.7%
27
4.3%
Q2 - 6:27SASParker Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)45
95.2%
27
4.8%
Q2 - 6:51ATLChildress Putback Layup (5 PTS)43
94.8%
27
5.2%
Q2 - 6:52ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)43
95.3%
25
4.7%
Q2 - 6:54ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot43
95.7%
25
4.3%
Q2 - 7:05ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)43
25
Q2 - 7:12SASParker Layup (8 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)43
95.2%
25
4.8%
Q2 - 7:15SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
94.7%
25
5.3%
Q2 - 7:16ATLMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot41
94.5%
25
5.5%
Q2 - 7:36SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)41
94.1%
25
5.9%
Q2 - 7:36SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
93.9%
25
6.1%
Q2 - 7:36ATLSUB: Johnson FOR West39
25
Q2 - 7:36ATLWest S.FOUL (P1.T2)39
25
Q2 - 7:51ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
93.4%
25
6.6%
Q2 - 7:51ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
93.6%
24
6.4%
Q2 - 7:51SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.PN)39
23
Q2 - 7:57ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
94.1%
23
5.9%
Q2 - 7:58ATLMISS Smith 8' Hook Shot39
94.5%
23
5.5%
Q2 - 8:04ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
93.8%
23
6.2%
Q2 - 8:05SASMISS Bonner 28' 3PT Jump Shot39
93.9%
23
6.1%
Q2 - 8:20ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)39
94.4%
23
5.6%
Q2 - 8:21ATLHAWKS Rebound39
93.8%
23
6.2%
Q2 - 8:22ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot39
94.2%
23
5.8%
Q2 - 8:32ATLSUB: Horford FOR Shel. Williams39
23
Q2 - 8:35SASSUB: Finley FOR Ginobili39
23
Q2 - 8:35SASSUB: Duncan FOR Elson39
23
Q2 - 8:3539
23
Q2 - 8:35SASElson P.FOUL (P3.T4)39
23
Q2 - 8:49SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)39
93.8%
23
6.2%
Q2 - 9:02SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn36
23
Q2 - 9:02ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T5)36
92.1%
23
7.9%
Q2 - 9:02ATLSmith OFF.Foul (P1)36
23
Q2 - 9:06ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
91.3%
23
8.7%
Q2 - 9:07SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
91.6%
23
8.4%
Q2 - 9:19ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)36
92.1%
23
7.9%
Q2 - 9:19ATLHAWKS Rebound36
22
Q2 - 9:19ATLMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 236
92.3%
22
7.7%
Q2 - 9:19SASBonner S.FOUL (P2.T3)36
22
Q2 - 9:29ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
92.1%
22
7.9%
Q2 - 9:31ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot36
92.6%
22
7.4%
Q2 - 9:47SASElson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)36
92.1%
22
7.9%
Q2 - 9:55ATLShel. Williams P.FOUL (P1.T1)34
22
Q2 - 10:06ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
91.0%
22
9.0%
Q2 - 10:06ATLSUB: West FOR Johnson34
21
Q2 - 10:06ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)34
91.2%
21
8.8%
Q2 - 10:06SASElson S.FOUL (P2.T2)34
20
Q2 - 10:09ATLSUB: Smith FOR Williams34
20
Q2 - 10:26SASGinobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)34
91.8%
20
8.2%
Q2 - 10:34SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
90.2%
20
9.8%
Q2 - 10:36ATLMISS Childress 14' Jump Shot31
89.9%
20
10.1%
Q2 - 10:50SASGinobili 19' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)31
89.2%
20
10.8%
Q2 - 11:00SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
88.2%
20
11.8%
Q2 - 11:02SASMISS Bonner 8' Running Jump Shot29
86.9%
20
13.1%
Q2 - 11:27ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)29
87.8%
20
12.2%
Q2 - 11:27ATLHAWKS Rebound29
86.6%
20
13.4%
Q2 - 11:27ATLMISS Williams 19' Turnaround Jump Shot29
87.4%
20
12.6%
Q2 - 11:42SASVaughn P.FOUL (P1.T1)29
20
Q2 - 12:0029
20
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS29
86.6%
20
13.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLShel. Williams 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)29
87.8%
20
12.2%
Q1 - 0:09.0SASElson Foul Turnover (P1.T6)29
88.5%
18
11.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0SASElson OFF.Foul (P1)29
18
Q1 - 0:17.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
89.3%
18
10.7%
Q1 - 0:18.0ATLMISS Johnson Layup29
89.0%
18
11.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0ATLJump Ball Childress vs. Vaughn: Tip to Williams29
18
Q1 - 0:39.0ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
88.5%
18
11.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0SASMISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot29
88.8%
18
11.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
89.3%
18
10.7%
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 2 of 229
89.2%
18
10.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASSUB: Elson FOR Oberto29
18
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
88.5%
18
11.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0SASOberto S.FOUL (P2.T3)29
17
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
89.5%
17
10.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot29
90.0%
17
10.0%
Q1 - 1:15SASGinobili Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
89.3%
17
10.7%
Q1 - 1:21SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
88.0%
17
12.0%
Q1 - 1:24ATLMISS Johnson Running Layup27
87.8%
17
12.2%
Q1 - 1:36SASBowen Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)27
87.3%
17
12.7%
Q1 - 1:47SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
88.0%
17
12.0%
Q1 - 1:48ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot27
87.8%
17
12.2%
Q1 - 2:12SASGinobili Driving Dunk (2 PTS)27
87.0%
17
13.0%
Q1 - 2:18SASSUB: Oberto FOR Duncan25
17
Q1 - 2:18SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley25
17
Q1 - 2:18ATLSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Horford25
17
Q1 - 2:18ATLSUB: Williams FOR Smith25
17
Q1 - 2:18ATLHorford P.FOUL (P2.T2)25
17
Q1 - 2:26ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)25
85.7%
17
14.3%
Q1 - 2:26ATLHAWKS Rebound25
84.8%
17
15.2%
Q1 - 2:26ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot25
85.4%
17
14.6%
Q1 - 2:51SASDuncan Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)25
84.8%
17
15.2%
Q1 - 3:05ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
86.0%
17
14.0%
Q1 - 3:15SASBonner 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)25
87.1%
15
12.9%
Q1 - 3:33ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)22
84.8%
15
15.2%
Q1 - 3:33ATLJohnson OFF.Foul (P1)22
15
Q1 - 3:42SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker22
15
Q1 - 3:42SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
83.6%
15
16.4%
Q1 - 3:42SASDuncan OFF.Foul (P1)22
15
Q1 - 3:55SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
84.8%
15
15.2%
Q1 - 3:56ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 222
84.7%
15
15.3%
Q1 - 3:56ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)22
83.9%
15
16.1%
Q1 - 3:56SASBonner S.FOUL (P1.T2)22
14
Q1 - 4:02ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
83.5%
14
16.5%
Q1 - 4:03SASMISS Finley 19' Jump Shot22
83.8%
14
16.2%
Q1 - 4:14ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)22
84.5%
14
15.5%
Q1 - 4:35SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
83.3%
14
16.7%
Q1 - 4:35SASSUB: Bonner FOR Oberto21
14
Q1 - 4:35SASSpurs Rebound21
14
Q1 - 4:35SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 221
83.0%
14
17.0%
Q1 - 4:35ATLHorford S.FOUL (P1.T1)21
14
Q1 - 4:48SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen21
14
Q1 - 4:48ATLSUB: Horford FOR Pachulia21
14
Q1 - 4:48ATLSUB: Childress FOR Williams21
14
Q1 - 4:48SASSpurs Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)21
14
Q1 - 4:55ATLSmith Driving Layup (4 PTS)21
83.2%
14
16.8%
Q1 - 5:10ATLSmith Violation:Defensive Goaltending21
12
Q1 - 5:10SASParker Running Layup (4 PTS)21
83.5%
12
16.5%
Q1 - 5:14SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)19
82.6%
12
17.4%
Q1 - 5:15ATLMISS Pachulia Layup19
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 5:24ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
81.4%
12
18.6%
Q1 - 5:26SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot19
81.7%
12
18.3%
Q1 - 5:29SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)19
82.5%
12
17.5%
Q1 - 5:32SASSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)19
81.7%
12
18.3%
Q1 - 5:52ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 6:08SASOberto Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)19
83.1%
10
16.9%
Q1 - 6:21SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
82.0%
10
18.0%
Q1 - 6:22ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot17
81.7%
10
18.3%
Q1 - 6:41SASFinley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)17
80.7%
10
19.3%
Q1 - 6:51SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
78.5%
10
21.5%
Q1 - 6:53ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
78.2%
10
21.8%
Q1 - 7:10SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 7:10SASOberto Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
77.3%
10
22.7%
Q1 - 7:11SASMISS Parker Layup12
75.3%
10
24.7%
Q1 - 7:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
76.1%
10
23.9%
Q1 - 7:28ATLMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot12
75.7%
10
24.3%
Q1 - 7:45SASBowen Layup (2 PTS)12
74.6%
10
25.4%
Q1 - 7:47SASBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
73.6%
10
26.4%
Q1 - 7:49SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot10
72.6%
10
27.4%
Q1 - 8:10ATLWilliams Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)10
73.5%
10
26.5%
Q1 - 8:15SASWilliams STEAL (1 STL)10
74.5%
8
25.5%
Q1 - 8:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
75.5%
8
24.5%
Q1 - 8:24SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
74.7%
8
25.3%
Q1 - 8:44ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)10
75.1%
8
24.9%
Q1 - 8:52ATLHAWKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
6
Q1 - 8:57SASDuncan Putback Dunk (6 PTS)10
75.8%
6
24.2%
Q1 - 8:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
74.9%
6
25.1%
Q1 - 9:00SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot8
74.2%
6
25.8%
Q1 - 9:12SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
74.8%
6
25.2%
Q1 - 9:13ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 28
74.7%
6
25.3%
Q1 - 9:13ATLHAWKS Rebound8
6
Q1 - 9:13ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 28
74.1%
6
25.9%
Q1 - 9:13SASOberto S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
6
Q1 - 9:24SASDuncan Running Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)8
73.8%
6
26.2%
Q1 - 9:41ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)6
72.6%
6
27.4%
Q1 - 9:52SASDuncan 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)6
73.2%
4
26.8%
Q1 - 10:15ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)4
72.1%
4
27.9%
Q1 - 10:32SASParker 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)4
72.2%
2
27.8%
Q1 - 10:44SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
71.4%
2
28.6%
Q1 - 10:45ATLMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot2
71.3%
2
28.7%
Q1 - 10:57SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
70.7%
2
29.3%
Q1 - 11:16ATLPachulia 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
70.6%
2
29.4%
Q1 - 11:39SASFinley 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
70.1%
0
29.9%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Duncan: Tip to Oberto0
69.2%
0
30.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventSASATL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.13 56.5%
ATL
0.86 42.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
20
29
69%
ATL
12
31
39%
Midrange
SAS
11
30
37%
ATL
21
40
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
ATL
8
0%
Free Throws
SAS
12
15
80%
ATL
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3170%15.5 / 22
M. Ginobili1973%9.5 / 13
T. Duncan1346%6.5 / 14
M. Finley1056%5.0 / 9
F. Oberto1071%5.0 / 7
M. Bonner330%1.5 / 5
I. Udoka338%1.5 / 4
B. Bowen233%1.0 / 3
J. Vaughn233%1.0 / 3
F. Elson250%1.0 / 2
D. Washington0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2048%10.0 / 21
M. Williams1657%8.0 / 14
J. Smith1129%5.5 / 19
A. Horford1155%5.5 / 10
J. Childress950%4.5 / 9
Z. Pachulia638%3.0 / 8
M. West583%2.5 / 3
S. Williams375%1.5 / 2
A. Johnson220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
71
+12
-15
83
ATL
77
+18
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.13 56.5%
ATL
0.86 42.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.5
106.6
SAS 110.5 +15.1
ATL 95.4
Pace
89.5
91.4
SAS 80.9
ATL 92.8 +11.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.6
SAS 17.8
ATL 15.5 −2.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
48.3%
SAS 54.6% +12.8%
ATL 41.8%
TO %
13.4%
15.5%
SAS 15.4%
ATL 12.7% −2.7%
ORB %
23.4%
29.8%
SAS 31.6%
ATL 32.5% +0.9%
FTrt
27.6
34.0
SAS 19.7
ATL 30.4 +10.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
60.6%
SAS 57.9% +12.4%
ATL 45.5%
STL %
7.1%
7.9%
SAS 4.7%
ATL 8.0% +3.3%
BLK %
6.5%
8.4%
SAS 5.6%
ATL 8.5% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.0%
SAS 56.5% +13.7%
ATL 42.8%
Rim FG%
60.6%
58.6%
SAS 69.0% +30.3%
ATL 38.7%
Mid FG%
40.4%
38.5%
SAS 36.7%
ATL 52.5% +15.8%
3P %
36.9%
35.6%
SAS 41.2% +41.2%
ATL 0.0%
FT %
76.1%
77.2%
SAS 80.0% +9.2%
ATL 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.8%
36.9%
SAS 38.2%
ATL 39.2% +1.1%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
46.7%
SAS 39.5% −11.2%
ATL 50.6%
3P Att. %
25.1%
16.5%
SAS 22.4% +12.2%
ATL 10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASATL
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes25.522.5
Points9583
Rebounds3939
Assists2215
Steals47
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)10 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (0)13 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)26 (2)
Field Goals38-7633-79
At-the-Rim FG20-2912-31
Midrange FG11-3021-40
2-Point FG31-5933-71
3-Point FG7-170-8
Free Throws12-1517-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
33.6
31
70%
2
9
0
0
2
0
0
2
4-4
100%
12-19
63%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 250 · 32
32.7
13
46%
7
6
0
2
3
3
3
4
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
32.6
2
33%
5
2
1
0
2
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 225 · 35
32.0
10
56%
2
1
0
2
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-6
33%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
24.0
10
71%
10
1
0
0
0
3
4
6
0-1
0%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 30
26.0
19
73%
4
0
2
0
3
0
1
3
3-4
75%
5-8
63%
2-3
67%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28
21.7
3
30%
6
1
0
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
14.4
2
33%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32
12.8
2
50%
1
0
1
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
8.7
3
38%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 22
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'7" 210 · 36
#25 · F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
56%
39
22
4
4
15
0
12
27
12-15
80%
31-59
53%
7-17
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.