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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 20, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs69%9995
20Hawks31%9283
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
33.6
32.8
31
71%
2
9
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
12-19
7-13
63%
52%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.6
32.7
33.8
13
47%
7
6
0
1
2
3
3
4
3-4
75%
5-11
7-14
45%
52%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.4
32.6
28.1
2
33%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.7
32.0
25.8
10
56%
2
1
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
2-6
33%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
24.0
18.2
10
67%
10
1
0
0
0
0
4
6
0-1
0%
5-7
2-3
71%
55%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.3
26.0
28.8
19
74%
4
0
2
2
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
5-8
3-7
63%
50%
2-3
67%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
21.7
16.1
3
30%
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
14.4
13.7
2
35%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.7
12.8
17.3
2
50%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
8.7
8.2
3
38%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Darius Washington
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.0
1.6
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.9
13.6
0
1-1
53%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.2
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.4
44.0
40.1
20
48%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
9-17
6-12
53%
48%
0-3
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.1
40.9
10.6
2
20%
4
7
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.4
35.5
34.9
16
58%
6
2
4
1
2
1
1
5
2-2
100%
7-13
5-12
54%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.0
30.5
26.0
11
30%
5
1
1
1
2
5
1
4
5-6
83%
3-15
4-10
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.8
11.9
17.2
6
39%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.4
33.0
34.9
9
51%
5
0
0
1
0
1
4
1
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.5
28.7
32.9
11
56%
8
1
0
1
1
1
2
6
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
47%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
8.1
2.1
5
87%
3
0
2
0
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
2-2
0-0
100%
41%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
5.8
8.5
3
80%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.3
1.6
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.5
17.0
0
2-4
44%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.0
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.8
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.