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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 20, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Warriors55%108108
28Knicks45%10682
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.6
39.8
32.9
23
51%
6
7
3
1
2
4
1
5
5-8
63%
6-9
3-6
67%
46%
2-10
20%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.6
38.6
37.9
31
67%
6
7
2
2
1
2
3
3
5-7
71%
7-14
6-12
50%
48%
4-6
67%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
33.1
33.8
11
46%
6
1
2
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
1-5
20%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.6
24.2
34.1
6
51%
4
0
3
1
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
3-5
5-8
60%
60%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.8
10.9
34.8
2
17%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.8
29.6
17.4
16
75%
6
2
4
1
1
3
1
5
4-6
67%
6-6
1-2
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.1
26.4
24.4
9
51%
2
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
3-6
4-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.6
14.9
9.3
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
1-1
100%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.9
9.9
2.3
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.7
9.4
4.6
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.4
3.0
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.1
5.6
0
1-2
48%
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 22.7
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 31.7
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.7
38.3
28.6
18
56%
6
5
1
1
0
2
3
3
5-5
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.7
36.2
34.3
15
56%
4
3
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-1
0%
3-6
4-9
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.6
31.4
22.8
4
20%
10
1
1
1
0
0
2
8
0-2
0%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
29.6
32.7
15
53%
16
1
0
1
0
7
4
12
5-5
100%
5-12
8-18
42%
48%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.0
25.5
26.0
12
47%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
2-6
33%
5-10
6-11
50%
57%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.6
24.3
27.1
12
61%
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
58%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.5
18.7
24.6
0
0%
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
0-4
0%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
17.2
14.5
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.7
16.0
18.6
6
61%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.5
2.7
7.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
11.4
0
1-2
48%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.0
7.9
0
1-2
41%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 21.9
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.