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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 20, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Raptors24%9399
3Mavericks76%102105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.7
45.1
32.7
31
59%
12
1
0
1
1
3
6
6
7-10
70%
12-22
6-12
55%
47%
0-0
-
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.4
35.5
28.8
5
50%
12
1
0
1
1
1
0
12
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.4
33.5
29.0
11
47%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
1-3
33%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.1
32.9
16.1
20
67%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
5-9
56%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.7
22.5
29.4
13
46%
2
5
1
1
0
1
2
0
5-5
100%
4-12
5-11
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.1
25.5
17.9
14
64%
1
6
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
6-8
3-5
75%
51%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
18.1
19.1
5
83%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
13.8
9.7
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.2
13.1
22.6
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.5
13.1
0
1-2
52%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.1
10.9
0
1-3
43%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.7
1.4
0
0-0
36%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
36.8
35.3
15
60%
9
1
0
1
1
2
2
7
7-8
88%
4-7
6-13
57%
50%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.4
36.5
34.5
32
77%
7
1
0
1
1
2
1
6
4-4
100%
8-13
6-12
62%
50%
4-6
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.7
32.1
32.6
19
57%
3
2
0
2
0
0
1
2
5-6
83%
4-10
5-9
40%
51%
2-4
50%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.8
26.5
26.6
6
75%
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.8
2.8
13.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.2
25.8
29.2
19
65%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
7-8
88%
3-5
4-8
60%
51%
2-6
33%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.0
21.9
22.5
0
0%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-5
2-5
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.7
21.4
7.7
6
100%
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.4
16.4
14.4
2
50%
6
2
0
0
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.6
9.7
19.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.8
6.2
4.0
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
3.8
5.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.2
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.1
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.