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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 20, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bulls33%9791
9Nuggets67%102112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
30.4
38.5
6
20%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-12
6-12
17%
44%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
25.8
30.0
6
43%
12
2
2
1
3
0
5
7
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
45%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.0
21.8
33.2
10
63%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-9
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
20.8
29.7
14
50%
4
2
1
1
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.4
9.2
8.4
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 22.8
26.9
7.1
14
41%
3
0
0
0
0
4
2
1
0-2
0%
4-9
1-2
44%
42%
2-7
29%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
22.0
5.9
16
74%
8
3
1
0
1
2
4
4
2-2
100%
7-10
1-1
70%
43%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
21.4
13.6
7
32%
3
4
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
1-3
25%
41%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.2
17.9
20.7
3
50%
1
5
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
1-3
33%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.3
16.8
16.1
6
51%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
16.1
6.4
7
52%
5
2
1
0
0
0
2
3
1-4
25%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
10.9
15.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-1
0%
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 32.5
34.6
34.4
22
63%
1
6
3
2
0
5
0
1
10-10
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
46%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.5
30.6
31.8
26
51%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
10-13
77%
8-17
7-14
47%
50%
0-3
0%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33.7
30.3
29.8
12
77%
20
5
1
1
5
2
1
19
4-4
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.9
23.8
21.0
13
60%
8
1
1
1
1
0
3
5
1-2
50%
6-9
3-7
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25.2
18.3
21.1
5
83%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.9
26.1
22.6
8
44%
5
3
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
0-3
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22.2
20.6
22.6
12
68%
3
2
4
1
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
18.5
15.7
4
52%
4
2
0
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
17.7
21.2
8
133%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
52%
2-2
100%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 28.5
13.7
11.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 22.3
5.8
5.8
2
41%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.1
3.6
0
0-1
57%
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.2
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.4
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 33.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.