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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 21, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Wizards36%97114
16Bobcats64%102111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.7
46.8
32.5
39
69%
5
3
2
2
1
5
2
3
12-12
100%
12-20
5-11
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.7
45.4
28.5
14
65%
8
6
4
1
0
5
1
7
3-4
75%
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.4
40.7
34.0
27
58%
12
0
1
1
1
1
4
8
10-14
71%
7-13
5-10
54%
47%
1-4
25%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.2
36.1
25.5
12
40%
13
3
2
1
5
0
5
8
0-0
-
6-15
3-7
40%
50%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.6
32.1
25.5
7
28%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-6
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-3
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.8
21.3
23.3
8
59%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
49%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.5
14.8
14.5
5
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
14.4
7.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.2
13.2
11.8
2
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
38%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.0
23.1
0
3-5
53%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.9
17.6
1
2-5
47%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.0
3.7
0
0-1
48%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.4
46.5
35.6
27
59%
5
12
2
2
0
6
2
3
13-16
81%
4-12
4-9
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
43.0
37.5
25
49%
2
2
3
2
1
4
2
0
3-6
50%
8-15
7-13
53%
53%
2-8
25%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.1
40.7
33.8
20
72%
14
0
0
1
3
1
5
9
2-2
100%
9-13
5-10
69%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
39.5
35.0
10
35%
6
2
0
1
1
2
0
6
0-1
0%
2-8
5-10
25%
48%
2-6
33%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
4.6
11.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.2
35.9
27.6
11
46%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
3-7
43%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
18.9
19.6
6
104%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
17.1
16.6
2
26%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-2
0%
1-3
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
12.5
7.1
6
60%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
52%
2-4
50%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
4.9
2.8
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
1.4
8.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
1.0
0
0-0
47%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.3
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.3
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.