Final Win Prob. pScore
2229%91
82
1571%99
79
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
94.38788.6
MIA logo Heat
90.88785.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA82
79
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound82
79
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
79
Q4 - 0:01.0MIASUB: Williams FOR Haslem82
79
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLSUB: Childress FOR Pachulia82
79
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)82
79
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)82
79
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLHawks Rebound81
79
Q4 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 281
79
Q4 - 0:01.0MIADavis P.FOUL (P2.PN)81
79
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)81
79
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup81
79
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)81
79
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
79
Q4 - 0:15.0ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot81
79
Q4 - 0:37.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
79
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot81
79
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)81
79
Q4 - 1:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)81
79
Q4 - 1:01MIAHEAT Rebound81
78
Q4 - 1:01MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 281
78
Q4 - 1:01ATLSmith P.FOUL (P4.PN)81
78
Q4 - 1:11ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
78
Q4 - 1:11ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)80
78
Q4 - 1:11MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P5.PN)79
78
Q4 - 1:18ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)79
78
Q4 - 1:18MIAHaslem Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)79
78
Q4 - 1:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
76
Q4 - 1:27ATLMISS Williams Layup79
76
Q4 - 1:49MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
76
Q4 - 1:49MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal79
75
Q4 - 1:49MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)79
75
Q4 - 1:49ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P5.PN)79
74
Q4 - 1:58ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)79
74
Q4 - 2:21ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)76
74
Q4 - 2:22MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 276
74
Q4 - 2:22MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)76
74
Q4 - 2:22ATLSmith S.FOUL (P3.PN)76
73
Q4 - 2:23MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)76
73
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
73
Q4 - 2:32ATLJohnson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T15)76
73
Q4 - 2:33MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)76
73
Q4 - 2:49ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
73
Q4 - 2:49ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
73
Q4 - 2:4974
73
Q4 - 2:49MIAHardaway S.FOUL (P4.T4)74
73
Q4 - 3:06ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
73
Q4 - 3:07MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot74
73
Q4 - 3:31ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)74
73
Q4 - 3:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
73
Q4 - 3:55MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot71
73
Q4 - 4:11MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
73
Q4 - 4:13MIAMISS Hardaway 3PT Jump Shot71
73
Q4 - 4:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)71
73
Q4 - 4:34ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T14)71
73
Q4 - 4:34ATLJohnson OFF.Foul (P4)71
73
Q4 - 4:39ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)71
73
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot71
73
Q4 - 4:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)71
73
Q4 - 4:58ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot71
73
Q4 - 5:14ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
73
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot71
73
Q4 - 5:22ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)71
73
Q4 - 5:34ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Lue71
73
Q4 - 5:34ATLSUB: Smith FOR Childress71
73
Q4 - 5:34ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)71
73
Q4 - 5:38MIADavis Dunk (17 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)71
73
Q4 - 5:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)71
71
Q4 - 5:46ATLO'Neal BLOCK (7 BLK)71
71
Q4 - 6:02ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)71
71
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 171
71
Q4 - 6:03ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Smith71
71
Q4 - 6:03MIASUB: Haslem FOR Parker71
71
Q4 - 6:03ATLWilliams S.FOUL (P3.T4)71
71
Q4 - 6:03MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)71
71
Q4 - 6:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
69
Q4 - 6:08ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot71
69
Q4 - 6:25ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)71
69
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
69
Q4 - 6:43ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)71
69
Q4 - 6:43ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)70
69
Q4 - 6:43MIAParker S.FOUL (P1.T3)69
69
Q4 - 6:45ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
69
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup69
69
Q4 - 7:00ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)69
69
Q4 - 7:16ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
69
Q4 - 7:17MIAMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot69
69
Q4 - 7:43ATLSmith Layup (14 PTS)69
69
Q4 - 7:56ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford67
69
Q4 - 7:56MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)67
69
Q4 - 8:11ATLHorford P.FOUL (P4.T3)67
69
Q4 - 8:18MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning67
69
Q4 - 8:18MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)67
69
Q4 - 8:29ATLLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)67
69
Q4 - 8:45ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
69
Q4 - 8:46MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Bank Shot64
69
Q4 - 9:10ATLChildress Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)64
69
Q4 - 9:22ATLSUB: Smith FOR Johnson62
69
Q4 - 9:22MIASUB: Wade FOR Haslem62
69
Q4 - 9:22MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T17)62
69
Q4 - 9:22MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P3)62
69
Q4 - 9:44ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
69
Q4 - 10:02MIAParker Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T16)60
69
Q4 - 10:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
69
Q4 - 10:10ATLMISS Johnson Reverse Layup60
69
Q4 - 10:34MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)60
69
Q4 - 10:34MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)60
68
Q4 - 10:34ATLHorford S.FOUL (P3.T2)60
67
Q4 - 10:51ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
67
Q4 - 10:51ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
67
Q4 - 10:51MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P4.T2)58
67
Q4 - 11:02MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)58
67
Q4 - 11:02ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
67
Q4 - 11:02ATLMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
67
Q4 - 11:19MIAHEAT Rebound58
67
Q4 - 11:19MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)58
67
Q4 - 11:19MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 258
66
Q4 - 11:19ATLHorford S.FOUL (P2.T1)58
66
Q4 - 11:40ATLWilliams Layup (8 PTS)58
66
Q4 - 12:0056
66
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL56
66
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)56
66
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
66
Q3 - 0:26.0ATLDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)56
66
Q3 - 0:51.0MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)56
66
Q3 - 0:51.0MIASUB: Parker FOR Williams56
65
Q3 - 0:51.0MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)56
65
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLSUB: Williams FOR Smith56
64
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLHorford S.FOUL (P1.PN)56
64
Q3 - 1:08ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
64
Q3 - 1:08ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
64
Q3 - 1:08MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)54
64
Q3 - 1:09ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
64
Q3 - 1:11ATLMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)54
64
Q3 - 1:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
64
Q3 - 1:32MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)54
63
Q3 - 1:32ATLSmith S.FOUL (P2.PN)54
62
Q3 - 1:38ATLHardaway STEAL (1 STL)54
62
Q3 - 1:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)54
62
Q3 - 2:00ATLMISS Smith 3' Jump Shot54
62
Q3 - 2:03ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)54
62
Q3 - 2:04ATLMISS Smith Finger Roll Layup54
62
Q3 - 2:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)54
62
Q3 - 2:24MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)54
61
Q3 - 2:24ATLSUB: Lue FOR Johnson54
60
Q3 - 2:24ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)54
60
Q3 - 2:24ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P1.PN)54
60
Q3 - 2:27MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
60
Q3 - 2:29ATLMISS Johnson 7' Floating Jump Shot54
60
Q3 - 2:44MIAHaslem 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)54
60
Q3 - 2:55MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
58
Q3 - 2:56ATLMISS Childress 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 3:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
58
Q3 - 3:14MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 3:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)54
58
Q3 - 3:31ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 254
58
Q3 - 3:31ATLHawks Rebound54
58
Q3 - 3:31ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 254
58
Q3 - 3:31MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal54
58
Q3 - 3:31MIAHardaway S.FOUL (P3.T4)54
58
Q3 - 3:40ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
58
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 3:50MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
58
Q3 - 3:52ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 3:54ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)54
58
Q3 - 3:56ATLMISS Smith 9' Hook Shot54
58
Q3 - 4:13ATLSUB: Childress FOR Williams54
58
Q3 - 4:13MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P3.T3)54
58
Q3 - 4:20ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
58
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 4:49ATLHorford Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)54
58
Q3 - 5:11MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
58
Q3 - 5:11MIAHEAT Rebound52
57
Q3 - 5:11MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 252
57
Q3 - 5:11ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T4)52
57
Q3 - 5:31ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)52
57
Q3 - 5:45ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)49
57
Q3 - 5:53MIAO'Neal Dunk (17 PTS) (Hardaway 3 AST)49
57
Q3 - 6:01MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)49
55
Q3 - 6:10ATLHorford Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)49
55
Q3 - 6:16ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
55
Q3 - 6:17MIAMISS Hardaway 12' Jump Shot47
55
Q3 - 6:25MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
55
Q3 - 6:27ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
55
Q3 - 6:43MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (15 PTS)47
55
Q3 - 6:59ATLSmith 5' Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
53
Q3 - 7:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
53
Q3 - 7:02ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)45
53
Q3 - 7:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)45
53
Q3 - 7:07ATLO'Neal BLOCK (6 BLK)45
53
Q3 - 7:31MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)45
53
Q3 - 7:46ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)45
51
Q3 - 7:55MIAHardaway P.FOUL (P2.T2)43
51
Q3 - 8:03MIAO'Neal Dunk (13 PTS)43
51
Q3 - 8:04MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
49
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot43
49
Q3 - 8:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
49
Q3 - 8:18ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot43
49
Q3 - 8:27MIAHaslem Violation:Kicked Ball43
49
Q3 - 8:27ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
49
Q3 - 8:29MIAMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot43
49
Q3 - 8:49ATLSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)43
49
Q3 - 9:05MIASUB: Hardaway FOR Wade43
49
Q3 - 9:05MIAWade L.B.FOUL (P4.T1)43
49
Q3 - 9:05ATLHawks Rebound43
49
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Davis 14' Jump Shot43
49
Q3 - 9:26ATLSmith Driving Dunk (8 PTS)43
49
Q3 - 9:37MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)41
49
Q3 - 9:44ATLSUB: Horford FOR Pachulia41
49
Q3 - 9:44ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P4.T3)41
49
Q3 - 9:48ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P3.T2)41
49
Q3 - 9:52ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)41
49
Q3 - 10:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
49
Q3 - 10:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)41
48
Q3 - 10:11ATLSmith S.FOUL (P1.T1)41
47
Q3 - 10:29ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)41
47
Q3 - 10:39ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
47
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot39
47
Q3 - 10:51ATLO'Neal STEAL (2 STL)39
47
Q3 - 11:11MIAWade Layup (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)39
47
Q3 - 11:25ATLPachulia Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)39
45
Q3 - 11:43MIAO'Neal 9' Hook Shot (11 PTS)37
45
Q3 - 12:0037
43
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL37
43
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound37
43
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS West 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
43
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
43
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
43
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
43
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
43
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
43
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Davis 6' Jump Shot37
43
Q2 - 1:04ATLJohnson 6' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)37
43
Q2 - 1:16ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)35
43
Q2 - 1:16MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Mourning )34
43
Q2 - 1:28MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)34
43
Q2 - 1:48ATLChildress Dunk (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)34
43
Q2 - 2:14MIAHardaway Driving Layup (8 PTS)32
43
Q2 - 2:38MIASUB: Williams FOR Wade32
41
Q2 - 2:38ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
41
Q2 - 2:38MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal31
41
Q2 - 2:38ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
41
Q2 - 2:38MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)30
41
Q2 - 2:38MIAWade S.FOUL (P3.T4)30
41
Q2 - 2:40ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
41
Q2 - 2:41ATLO'Neal BLOCK (5 BLK)30
41
Q2 - 2:56ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
41
Q2 - 2:57MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
41
Q2 - 3:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
41
Q2 - 3:12ATLMISS Childress 20' Jump Shot30
41
Q2 - 3:30MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)30
41
Q2 - 3:39MIAWade Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)30
39
Q2 - 3:39MIASUB: Haslem FOR Al. Johnson30
38
Q2 - 3:39ATLHawks T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Smith )30
38
Q2 - 3:52ATLChildress 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
38
Q2 - 4:01MIAO'Neal 6' Hook Shot (9 PTS)27
38
Q2 - 4:20ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)27
36
Q2 - 4:20ATLHawks Rebound27
36
Q2 - 4:21ATLO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)27
36
Q2 - 4:44MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)27
36
Q2 - 4:49MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
36
Q2 - 4:50ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot27
36
Q2 - 5:10ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
36
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 227
36
Q2 - 5:12MIAHEAT Rebound27
36
Q2 - 5:12MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 227
36
Q2 - 5:12ATLPachulia S.FOUL (P2.PN)27
36
Q2 - 5:28ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)27
36
Q2 - 5:48MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to Childress25
36
Q2 - 5:48MIASUB: Davis FOR Parker25
36
Q2 - 5:59MIAHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)25
36
Q2 - 6:08ATLSUB: West FOR Horford25
36
Q2 - 6:08ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Johnson25
36
Q2 - 6:08ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)25
36
Q2 - 6:08ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T4)25
36
Q2 - 6:11MIAParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
36
Q2 - 6:13ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot25
36
Q2 - 6:26MIAO'Neal Dunk (7 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)25
36
Q2 - 6:44MIAHEAT Rebound25
34
Q2 - 6:45ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
34
Q2 - 6:59MIAO'Neal Layup (5 PTS)25
34
Q2 - 7:02MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
32
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Hook Shot25
32
Q2 - 7:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
32
Q2 - 7:18MIAMISS Hardaway Dunk25
32
Q2 - 7:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
32
Q2 - 7:25ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot25
32
Q2 - 7:40MIAO'Neal Foul Turnover (P4.T10)25
32
Q2 - 7:40MIAO'Neal OFF.Foul (P2)25
32
Q2 - 8:02ATLChildress Layup (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)25
32
Q2 - 8:14MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)23
32
Q2 - 8:36MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
32
Q2 - 8:38ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot23
32
Q2 - 8:55MIAHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
32
Q2 - 8:55MIAHardaway Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
31
Q2 - 8:55ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Williams23
30
Q2 - 8:5523
30
Q2 - 8:55ATLWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T3)23
30
Q2 - 9:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
30
Q2 - 9:18ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 223
30
Q2 - 9:18ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)23
30
Q2 - 9:18MIAAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P1.T3)22
30
Q2 - 9:18ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
30
Q2 - 9:19ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot22
30
Q2 - 9:33MIASUB: O'Neal FOR Mourning22
30
Q2 - 9:33MIAHardaway P.FOUL (P1.T2)22
30
Q2 - 9:50ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
30
Q2 - 9:51MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot22
30
Q2 - 10:06ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
30
Q2 - 10:06ATLHawks Rebound21
30
Q2 - 10:06ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 221
30
Q2 - 10:06MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Haslem21
30
Q2 - 10:06MIAMourning S.FOUL (P2.T1)21
30
Q2 - 10:11MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)21
30
Q2 - 10:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
30
Q2 - 10:17ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot21
30
Q2 - 10:39MIAHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)21
30
Q2 - 10:39ATLSUB: Smith FOR Shel. Williams21
29
Q2 - 10:39MIAHardaway Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
29
Q2 - 10:39ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
28
Q2 - 10:44MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
28
Q2 - 10:46ATLMISS Shel. Williams Driving Layup21
28
Q2 - 11:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
28
Q2 - 11:02MIASUB: Wade FOR Davis21
27
Q2 - 11:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
27
Q2 - 11:02ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Lue21
26
Q2 - 11:02ATLSUB: Williams FOR Johnson21
26
Q2 - 11:02ATLChildress S.FOUL (P1.T1)21
26
Q2 - 11:16ATLLue Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)21
26
Q2 - 11:28MIADavis 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)21
26
Q2 - 11:36MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
24
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot21
24
Q2 - 12:0021
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
24
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLParker STEAL (1 STL)21
24
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)21
24
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
24
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
24
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS)21
24
Q1 - 0:58.0ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)21
22
Q1 - 1:03ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
22
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot18
22
Q1 - 1:19ATLHorford Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)18
22
Q1 - 1:37ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
22
Q1 - 1:38MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot16
22
Q1 - 1:43MIASUB: Parker FOR Williams16
22
Q1 - 1:43MIAHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
22
Q1 - 1:43ATLMISS Lue 13' Jump Shot16
22
Q1 - 2:12MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
22
Q1 - 2:12ATLHawks Rebound16
22
Q1 - 2:13ATLMISS Horford 3' Jump Shot16
22
Q1 - 2:14ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
22
Q1 - 2:15ATLMISS Horford 4' Jump Shot16
22
Q1 - 2:35MIAHardaway 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)16
22
Q1 - 2:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
20
Q1 - 2:44ATLMISS Johnson 6' Hook Shot16
20
Q1 - 2:49ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
20
Q1 - 2:51ATLHardaway BLOCK (1 BLK)16
20
Q1 - 3:03MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T6)16
20
Q1 - 3:03MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P1)16
20
Q1 - 3:15ATLLue 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 3:20ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
20
Q1 - 3:21MIAMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot14
20
Q1 - 3:37ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
20
Q1 - 3:37MIASUB: Mourning FOR O'Neal13
20
Q1 - 3:37ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
20
Q1 - 3:37MIADavis P.FOUL (P1.PN)12
20
Q1 - 3:51MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)12
20
Q1 - 4:03ATLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)12
17
Q1 - 4:19MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
17
Q1 - 4:19ATLShel. Williams S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
16
Q1 - 4:19MIAO'Neal Layup (2 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)12
16
Q1 - 4:32ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
14
Q1 - 4:32MIASUB: Hardaway FOR Wade11
14
Q1 - 4:32ATLHawks Rebound11
14
Q1 - 4:32ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 211
14
Q1 - 4:32MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.PN)11
14
Q1 - 4:48MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
14
Q1 - 5:04ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)11
11
Q1 - 5:04ATLSUB: Lue FOR Johnson10
11
Q1 - 5:04ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)10
11
Q1 - 5:04MIAO'Neal P.FOUL (P1.T4)9
11
Q1 - 5:20ATLSUB: Childress FOR Williams9
11
Q1 - 5:20MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T3)9
11
Q1 - 5:22MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)9
11
Q1 - 5:22MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Williams: Tip to Johnson9
11
Q1 - 5:46ATLJohnson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)9
11
Q1 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)7
11
Q1 - 6:03ATLSUB: Shel. Williams FOR Smith7
10
Q1 - 6:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
10
Q1 - 6:03ATLWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
9
Q1 - 6:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)7
9
Q1 - 6:07ATLMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot7
9
Q1 - 6:20ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
9
Q1 - 6:21MIAMISS O'Neal 4' Hook Shot7
9
Q1 - 6:39ATLSmith 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
9
Q1 - 6:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)5
9
Q1 - 6:42ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot5
9
Q1 - 6:56ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)5
9
Q1 - 6:56ATLSUB: Horford FOR Pachulia5
9
Q1 - 7:05MIADavis 13' Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
9
Q1 - 7:13ATLO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)5
7
Q1 - 7:22MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)5
7
Q1 - 7:41ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)5
7
Q1 - 7:47ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
7
Q1 - 7:49MIAMISS Williams Layup3
7
Q1 - 7:54MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
7
Q1 - 7:56ATLO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)3
7
Q1 - 8:10MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
7
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
4
Q1 - 8:22ATLMISS Pachulia 14' Jump Shot3
4
Q1 - 8:35MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)3
4
Q1 - 9:02ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
2
Q1 - 9:02MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 9:02ATLJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 9:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)0
2
Q1 - 9:17MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 9:18ATLMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 9:32MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 9:35MIAO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)0
2
Q1 - 9:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
2
Q1 - 9:47ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:04MIAWade Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 10:07ATLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)0
0
Q1 - 10:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 10:30MIAHEAT Rebound0
0
Q1 - 10:31ATLMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper0
0
Q1 - 10:37MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 10:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 10:42ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 10:42ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot0
0
Q1 - 10:45ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
0
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 20
0
Q1 - 11:03MIAHEAT Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:03MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 20
0
Q1 - 11:03ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:11ATLO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)0
0
Q1 - 11:19ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:42ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:47ATLO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball O'Neal vs. Smith: Tip to0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAO'Neal Violation:Jump Ball0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 44.1%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
13
29
45%
MIA
11
16
69%
Midrange
ATL
8
32
25%
MIA
11
34
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
MIA
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
Free Throws
ATL
22
28
79%
MIA
26
35
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2255%11.0 / 20
J. Smith1636%8.0 / 22
M. Williams1359%6.5 / 11
J. Childress1161%5.5 / 9
A. Horford630%3.0 / 10
A. Johnson563%2.5 / 4
T. Lue563%2.5 / 4
Z. Pachulia429%2.0 / 7
S. Williams0-0.0 / 1
M. West0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. O'Neal1864%9.0 / 14
R. Davis1753%8.5 / 16
U. Haslem1761%8.5 / 14
D. Wade1447%7.0 / 15
A. Hardaway857%4.0 / 7
A. Mourning583%2.5 / 3
J. Williams0-0.0 / 4
S. Parker0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
73
+19
-14
92
MIA
70
+8
-17
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.88 44.1%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
100.2
ATL 94.3 +3.4
MIA 90.8
Pace
91.4
90.5
ATL 88.6 +3.1
MIA 85.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.3
ATL 16.3 −0.6
MIA 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
48.2%
ATL 39.0%
MIA 44.9% +5.9%
TO %
15.5%
15.4%
ATL 14.4% −5.9%
MIA 20.3%
ORB %
29.8%
22.2%
ATL 34.0% +14.6%
MIA 19.4%
FTrt
34.0
30.0
ATL 36.4
MIA 59.3 +22.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
58.5%
ATL 51.9%
MIA 64.0% +12.1%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
ATL 12.6% +3.4%
MIA 9.2%
BLK %
8.4%
7.1%
ATL 6.0%
MIA 18.0% +12.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
50.6%
ATL 44.1%
MIA 50.0% +5.9%
Rim FG%
58.6%
59.2%
ATL 44.8%
MIA 68.8% +24.0%
Mid FG%
38.5%
38.8%
ATL 25.0%
MIA 32.4% +7.4%
3P %
35.6%
35.8%
ATL 37.5% +4.2%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
77.2%
72.7%
ATL 78.6% +4.3%
MIA 74.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
30.2%
ATL 37.7% +10.5%
MIA 27.1%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
48.1%
ATL 41.6% −16.1%
MIA 57.6%
3P Att. %
16.5%
21.7%
ATL 20.8% +5.5%
MIA 15.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points8279
Rebounds4538
Assists1416
Steals118
Blocks311
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)17 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (3)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)31 (3)
Field Goals27-7725-59
At-the-Rim FG13-2911-16
Midrange FG8-3211-34
2-Point FG21-6122-50
3-Point FG6-163-9
Free Throws22-2826-35
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 26
42.6
22
55%
7
4
0
0
3
1
1
6
7-8
88%
3-10
30%
3-7
43%
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
36.6
16
36%
11
4
0
2
3
4
4
7
8-12
67%
4-15
27%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 21
29.4
13
59%
10
1
3
1
2
3
2
8
5-6
83%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 33
27.0
5
63%
0
2
3
0
2
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
21.4
4
29%
3
0
1
0
1
5
1
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24
28.0
11
61%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'8" 240 · 21
26.6
6
30%
8
2
2
0
0
4
5
3
0-0
-
3-10
30%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
14.9
5
63%
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24
7.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 23
6.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32
F · 6'10" 235 · 23
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'3" 202 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'1" 175 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
44%
45
14
11
3
14
0
16
29
22-28
79%
21-61
34%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.