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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 21, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks40%94100
5Rockets60%9894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.6
40.2
35.6
20
53%
7
1
1
1
2
0
1
6
0-0
-
7-17
6-12
41%
47%
2-2
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.4
36.9
35.3
18
49%
14
0
0
1
1
1
2
12
2-5
40%
8-15
6-12
53%
47%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.7
31.6
32.2
22
67%
1
5
3
1
0
3
0
1
7-8
88%
6-11
4-9
55%
48%
1-2
50%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.7
16.8
14.7
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.8
16.7
26.6
0
0%
7
1
0
1
1
0
6
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.6
32.1
15.0
17
60%
6
3
0
0
1
0
1
5
5-5
100%
6-12
2-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.2
30.0
27.6
6
33%
3
4
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.0
25.4
22.4
15
51%
5
1
0
1
0
2
0
5
6-6
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
41%
1-4
25%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.4
10.3
15.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.8
8.3
0
1-2
39%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.8
5.6
0
1-1
42%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
5.3
0
1-1
39%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.4
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.2
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.2
41.2
32.3
30
68%
15
1
0
0
6
2
3
12
8-9
89%
11-18
7-14
61%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.2
38.4
32.1
12
64%
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
3-6
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.5
38.0
29.6
15
36%
7
12
2
1
1
6
0
7
2-4
50%
5-14
6-13
36%
47%
1-5
20%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.3
34.1
30.5
18
67%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
42%
3-7
43%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.4
31.2
18.9
2
33%
13
1
1
1
1
1
3
10
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
57%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.4
16.1
23.3
6
44%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.1
13.8
22.8
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
46%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
13.0
19.5
8
67%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
2-2
100%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.6
9.5
25.7
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
50%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.4
4.8
4.5
1
35%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.7
12.3
0
1-2
44%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
7.6
0
1-2
48%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 22.9
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.