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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 23, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bobcats25%9692
6Magic75%105105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.4
33.7
37.8
12
40%
2
6
0
2
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-10
4-10
50%
41%
0-4
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
30.5
34.6
14
46%
7
5
2
1
1
3
0
7
2-3
67%
3-8
4-10
38%
46%
2-6
33%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.2
29.6
34.6
12
47%
18
0
0
1
1
0
6
12
0-2
0%
6-12
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.1
12.9
8.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
12.0
37.5
4
50%
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
6-13
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.4
32.5
8.9
16
50%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-10
1-2
40%
48%
2-5
40%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.1
31.3
18.4
6
28%
1
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-10
2-4
20%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.2
20.9
29.2
10
48%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
42%
1-5
20%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.4
14.7
5.4
10
85%
7
1
1
0
0
0
3
4
0-2
0%
5-5
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
9.8
0.6
3
39%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
0-0
33%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
6.2
16.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
5.9
3.7
5
51%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-4
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.6
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.3
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
39.6
39.5
12
44%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
1-5
20%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.7
39.6
37.7
16
43%
7
6
0
1
1
5
1
6
2-4
50%
4-10
5-9
40%
48%
2-7
29%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.0
37.1
38.8
34
73%
17
2
3
1
4
3
6
11
12-21
57%
11-13
8-13
85%
59%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.5
35.5
32.8
11
53%
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
2-7
29%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.8
30.0
31.9
14
57%
6
3
0
1
0
2
0
6
1-3
33%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
1-2
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.5
20.8
16.2
14
79%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
6-7
2-4
86%
46%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.3
18.0
15.5
0
0%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.7
10.9
7.0
1
18%
5
0
0
0
1
0
4
1
1-4
25%
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
8.4
5.8
3
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.0
8.7
0
1-2
46%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.7
4.5
0
1-1
52%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.4
3.3
0
0-0
45%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.8
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.2
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.