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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 23, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets59%9391
15Heat41%9098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.5
41.2
32.6
19
39%
6
4
1
1
1
3
2
4
5-10
50%
7-16
6-14
44%
46%
0-4
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.2
36.5
34.6
9
64%
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
3-7
43%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.2
35.2
36.3
20
68%
7
2
0
1
1
1
2
5
4-4
100%
8-13
8-16
62%
51%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.3
26.9
31.7
3
22%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
42%
0-3
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.5
11.4
24.9
2
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.6
36.4
17.4
20
63%
9
3
1
0
1
2
4
5
0-0
-
10-16
2-5
63%
48%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.4
17.3
19.4
8
50%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
2-3
67%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
13.2
18.3
5
37%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.4
11.7
5.0
1
27%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
10.2
16.2
4
50%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.8
8.6
0
1-2
43%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.5
4.8
0
0-1
47%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 22.9
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.0
44.6
28.1
6
50%
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.8
42.3
31.0
31
52%
3
5
1
2
2
5
2
1
9-13
69%
11-23
6-13
48%
48%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.5
38.9
36.4
11
56%
8
1
1
1
0
0
0
8
3-4
75%
4-8
5-11
50%
48%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.2
36.2
37.0
12
54%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-5
60%
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.7
34.0
27.5
26
75%
14
2
2
0
3
6
4
10
6-12
50%
10-12
6-11
83%
56%
0-0
-
Anfernee Hardaway
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.4
22.0
27.8
4
100%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
41%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.0
11.7
5.3
3
80%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.8
10.2
18.0
5
64%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.5
15.2
1
1-3
46%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.6
9.2
0
1-2
43%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.0
6.5
0
1-2
45%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.8
5.2
0
1-1
49%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.3
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.