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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 23, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Kings44%9884
26Trail Blazers56%10087
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.6
41.3
26.9
6
38%
5
3
1
1
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.8
37.8
36.5
21
65%
7
2
1
1
0
4
0
7
4-5
80%
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
3-5
60%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.0
37.4
25.9
17
56%
11
5
2
1
0
1
1
10
3-5
60%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.4
34.5
20.3
11
42%
4
6
0
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
1-5
20%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.1
22.9
23.9
8
51%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
56%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
21.6
28.1
17
62%
2
0
1
1
0
2
1
1
4-6
67%
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
1-3
33%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.9
20.6
32.6
2
33%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
48%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.3
15.6
16.3
2
50%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
5.5
14.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.6
2.9
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.5
7.7
0
1-2
53%
Darryl Watkins
C · 6'11" 258 · 23.0
5.4
0
1-1
48%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.5
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.3
42.9
29.8
28
76%
12
0
0
1
3
2
4
8
4-8
50%
12-15
6-12
80%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.3
35.7
37.3
13
41%
4
8
3
1
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
5-11
6-12
45%
49%
1-4
25%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.0
34.0
34.4
8
36%
9
1
0
1
0
2
1
8
3-5
60%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
1-4
25%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.7
26.2
30.7
13
72%
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
3-7
43%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.5
15.3
22.5
4
45%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
2-4
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.1
28.7
27.6
7
46%
0
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
5-6
83%
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-2
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.2
27.5
26.8
6
44%
5
0
1
1
3
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.4
16.7
7.3
4
27%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
2-4
1-1
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.1
13.0
14.7
4
52%
5
1
0
0
2
4
3
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-0
-
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.0
3.2
0
0-1
44%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.5
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 20.7
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 19.8
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.