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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 23, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nets56%10098
29SuperSonics44%9893
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.4
42.1
37.5
30
56%
4
5
1
1
0
1
0
4
9-11
82%
9-19
6-12
47%
51%
1-3
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.7
37.1
35.9
14
90%
5
6
4
2
0
3
0
5
3-4
75%
4-5
3-7
80%
44%
1-1
100%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.4
27.6
14.3
12
50%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
6-12
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.8
24.3
33.3
4
40%
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.0
21.9
17.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.8
34.7
18.3
15
58%
5
5
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
1-3
33%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.4
18.4
25.3
10
45%
3
0
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.0
14.9
10.8
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
10.8
20.7
7
55%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
1-3
33%
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie Gill
G · 6'0" 190 · 29.3
8.2
11.0
2
50%
0
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
37%
0-1
0%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
9.8
0
2-4
50%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.5
8.9
0
1-2
47%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.4
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.9
35.3
32.3
10
56%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.1
32.7
30.4
12
44%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
3-4
75%
3-8
5-11
38%
46%
1-4
25%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
30.1
24.4
12
87%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
29.8
26.1
10
48%
3
2
3
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
4-9
5-10
44%
54%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.4
17.5
24.6
7
61%
0
3
0
1
1
4
0
0
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
32.8
24.4
14
67%
14
1
0
1
0
4
4
10
1-1
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
1-1
100%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.3
30.5
22.3
17
55%
1
2
1
1
1
4
0
1
1-3
33%
5-11
3-6
45%
48%
2-3
67%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.1
17.9
5.7
5
64%
8
3
0
0
0
0
3
5
1-2
50%
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
13.4
18.7
6
31%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
4-6
67%
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.8
12.1
0
2-3
49%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
10.7
0
1-2
49%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.5
4.1
0
1-1
47%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.