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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 24, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls54%9878
28Knicks46%9685
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
43.1
27.9
6
50%
12
0
3
1
1
1
5
7
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
42.9
26.1
11
30%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
5-13
3-7
38%
46%
0-5
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.0
41.0
28.3
23
61%
9
3
0
1
1
2
1
8
6-9
67%
4-8
4-7
50%
50%
3-7
43%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
36.7
34.9
13
35%
3
1
0
1
0
5
0
3
4-4
100%
3-15
5-11
20%
46%
1-2
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
17.0
13.5
7
33%
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
3-4
75%
2-9
2-4
22%
48%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
18.6
16.8
2
25%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.2
17.4
19.6
3
75%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.3
15.9
16.2
11
44%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
1-1
100%
5-12
3-6
42%
47%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
6.6
12.5
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
1.0
11.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.3
10.4
0
1-3
47%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.4
8.8
0
1-2
46%
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 22.8
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.7
39.5
34.0
6
38%
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.8
37.6
30.9
19
61%
6
4
1
1
1
0
1
5
5-8
63%
4-9
3-7
44%
46%
2-3
67%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.0
36.7
29.5
21
62%
7
0
0
0
0
4
3
4
7-9
78%
7-13
7-12
54%
56%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.6
31.7
23.5
3
17%
15
2
0
1
0
0
4
11
1-2
50%
1-6
2-4
17%
42%
0-2
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
31.3
30.0
20
46%
6
3
2
1
0
6
1
5
6-13
46%
7-16
7-15
44%
46%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.4
18.3
16.0
6
63%
6
0
2
1
0
0
0
6
2-4
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.0
14.6
15.7
2
50%
3
1
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.6
11.4
24.3
6
63%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
4-4
100%
1-3
4-6
33%
57%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.5
10.6
20.0
2
20%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.7
8.2
16.9
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.3
10.0
0
1-2
42%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.0
5.7
0
1-1
39%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 21.9
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.5
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.