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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 24, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Hawks61%9894
30Timberwolves39%9587
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.4
43.5
41.0
25
53%
2
5
1
1
0
6
0
2
5-6
83%
7-16
7-13
44%
51%
2-5
40%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.0
42.6
31.2
16
71%
8
5
3
1
5
3
3
5
5-5
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.5
29.7
28.9
6
75%
7
2
0
1
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
50%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.4
29.4
32.5
10
41%
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
4-7
57%
3-9
5-11
33%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.1
23.3
26.2
6
38%
3
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.4
31.5
31.4
14
50%
7
1
0
1
0
0
5
2
2-2
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.6
22.2
12.5
13
50%
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-8
1-3
25%
47%
3-5
60%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
15.8
7.5
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.4
2.1
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.8
17.5
1
3-6
48%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.1
12.4
0
1-3
46%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
5.3
0
0-1
47%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.5
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.1
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.9
38.4
34.2
23
70%
16
1
1
1
2
3
5
11
7-8
88%
8-13
8-15
62%
51%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.0
35.4
30.1
20
67%
3
6
1
1
3
2
0
3
2-2
100%
9-13
2-6
69%
43%
0-1
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.2
32.1
23.8
8
34%
6
1
2
1
0
1
3
3
4-4
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
28.4
25.4
11
61%
2
2
0
1
1
4
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.8
15.1
13.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
29.0
27.3
12
68%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
2-4
50%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.2
24.6
24.1
0
0%
4
1
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.0
13.5
13.9
7
48%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-3
33%
3-6
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.5
12.6
20.1
6
51%
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
41%
0-2
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.7
10.8
10.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.8
12.6
0
2-4
45%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 22.9
2.4
0
0-1
47%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.2
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.