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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 25, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bulls39%9378
15Raptors61%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.9
41.3
35.0
15
68%
2
7
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-10
43%
44%
3-4
75%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.6
41.0
35.5
17
44%
3
6
0
1
1
2
0
3
3-3
100%
7-14
5-11
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.6
37.3
32.3
21
49%
9
3
1
1
0
4
4
5
6-8
75%
6-17
6-13
35%
49%
1-1
100%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.2
35.6
35.4
2
20%
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-2
0%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
16.7
15.8
4
45%
8
1
0
1
0
1
2
6
0-1
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.0
30.6
34.8
11
33%
8
2
1
1
2
0
2
6
1-4
25%
2-7
4-9
29%
49%
2-8
25%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
14.3
18.0
2
20%
5
0
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
42%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.3
11.7
15.9
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.2
10.1
18.7
2
53%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
0.7
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.0
0.7
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.4
5.2
0
1-1
44%
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 22.8
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.9
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.7
43.1
38.0
16
54%
13
4
1
1
1
2
4
9
4-4
100%
6-13
8-16
46%
49%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
40.2
33.0
19
60%
3
14
2
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
52%
1-3
33%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.4
35.5
31.6
15
58%
9
0
3
1
6
0
2
7
1-2
50%
7-11
3-6
64%
47%
0-1
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.4
29.5
29.2
9
39%
5
0
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
1-8
3-5
13%
48%
2-3
67%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.1
28.0
29.0
7
39%
3
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.2
29.7
20.9
13
44%
8
2
1
1
0
0
1
7
4-4
100%
3-10
1-3
30%
45%
1-3
33%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.8
18.5
23.5
8
67%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.1
7.8
5.7
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.8
7.7
8.3
6
75%
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
44%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.5
7.5
0
1-2
49%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.7
5.9
0
0-1
37%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.5
4.7
0
0-1
54%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.7
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.9
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.