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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 25, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs80%106116
29SuperSonics20%95101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
36.0
32.2
22
49%
5
7
0
1
0
2
2
3
6-6
100%
8-19
8-15
42%
53%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.6
34.6
31.5
26
66%
5
3
1
1
2
1
3
2
4-4
100%
11-18
8-14
61%
53%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.4
34.3
29.3
4
40%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
28.3
21.2
6
60%
9
1
0
0
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.7
18.5
28.0
11
113%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
3-3
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.3
28.4
29.1
22
79%
1
2
0
2
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
4-6
67%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
22.9
10.1
12
89%
6
3
1
0
1
2
2
4
4-4
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.9
15.6
19.2
8
57%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
2-4
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
12.0
14.9
1
27%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.7
5.1
14.3
2
53%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
3.4
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Darius Washington
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.0
0.9
4.4
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.3
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.2
35.8
31.1
25
70%
6
4
0
1
0
3
1
5
2-2
100%
10-14
5-10
71%
44%
1-3
33%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.2
35.6
27.7
16
61%
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
5
4-5
80%
6-11
5-10
55%
52%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.9
25.3
33.2
2
26%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
4-8
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.1
25.2
12.5
4
67%
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.5
20.0
20.9
6
30%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
42%
0-2
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
28.1
15.7
27
89%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
8-11
2-5
73%
47%
2-2
100%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.3
28.0
26.0
9
46%
3
5
0
1
1
2
1
2
0-2
0%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
20.0
28.1
6
44%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
45%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.1
15.2
27.1
6
50%
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.5
6.8
5.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.8
6.7
0
1-2
48%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.5
2.4
0
0-1
44%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.0
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.