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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 26, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves17%90103
10Hornets83%10294
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.0
38.7
31.4
21
74%
3
6
2
2
0
3
0
3
4-5
80%
7-9
3-6
78%
42%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.9
32.2
35.0
14
46%
5
2
3
1
1
2
0
5
2-5
40%
6-13
7-15
46%
50%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
21.6
26.3
6
33%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.2
17.6
26.3
8
67%
3
1
3
1
0
5
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.8
13.3
14.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.5
36.7
17.0
20
80%
3
8
1
1
0
2
0
3
7-8
88%
5-8
2-4
63%
40%
1-1
100%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.3
30.5
27.3
17
57%
5
1
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.2
29.4
23.9
7
72%
9
6
2
1
0
2
0
9
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.0
20.0
13.6
10
68%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-3
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.7
10.8
0
1-2
42%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.8
8.4
0
1-3
44%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 22.9
1.8
0
0-0
43%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.2
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.4
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.6
44.1
34.9
31
69%
1
11
4
2
0
3
0
1
8-8
100%
7-15
5-11
47%
50%
3-4
75%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.2
42.1
34.1
10
39%
14
3
1
1
2
4
3
11
2-2
100%
4-11
8-16
36%
52%
0-1
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.5
37.3
34.1
17
61%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
49%
3-6
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.1
30.7
27.0
9
80%
7
0
0
1
0
3
1
6
5-6
83%
2-3
4-6
67%
60%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
18.7
26.8
2
20%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-4
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.7
26.4
19.6
14
48%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
6-8
75%
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
0-4
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.5
14.5
14.1
7
70%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
1-2
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.6
11.7
14.6
3
52%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.0
7.7
10.7
1
27%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.1
6.8
16.2
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.5
2.4
0
0-1
53%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
0.9
0
0-0
50%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.