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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 26, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs66%10099
21Kings34%94112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.6
33.4
32.7
15
57%
5
3
3
1
1
3
1
4
3-5
60%
6-11
8-14
55%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.5
31.2
33.7
12
42%
7
7
0
1
0
4
2
5
2-3
67%
5-12
8-15
42%
52%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.7
26.7
24.0
13
78%
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
3
1-3
33%
6-7
3-5
86%
56%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.7
26.7
24.1
9
41%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
44%
3-6
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.5
25.6
31.2
10
68%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-3
33%
3-4
1-2
75%
42%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.3
26.9
28.8
9
35%
6
7
0
2
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
1-6
17%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.9
23.5
17.9
8
51%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
54%
2-5
40%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.6
13.7
15.7
6
60%
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Darius Washington
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.0
9.8
3.3
8
51%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
0-1
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.8
9.3
13.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.3
7.6
6.4
7
88%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.7
5.6
10.8
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.1
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.4
44.5
25.4
27
85%
4
5
1
1
1
3
1
3
9-9
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
44%
2-2
100%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.0
38.5
30.3
20
63%
6
4
2
2
1
1
1
5
3-4
75%
7-12
4-8
58%
46%
1-2
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.6
34.4
32.0
17
64%
10
7
2
1
2
0
2
8
3-3
100%
7-11
4-7
64%
48%
0-1
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.8
32.8
36.6
10
38%
7
1
2
1
0
2
0
7
2-3
67%
4-10
5-9
40%
49%
0-2
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.1
30.4
23.3
17
90%
4
0
0
0
2
2
1
3
1-1
100%
8-9
3-5
89%
55%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.0
27.4
27.8
12
58%
6
0
2
1
1
0
1
5
3-3
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.9
15.2
25.5
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.6
10.7
9.5
7
58%
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.5
4.7
10.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.5
1.0
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Darryl Watkins
C · 6'11" 258 · 23.0
0.5
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.3
16.0
0
1-3
48%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.5
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.